Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Overindulgence | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Azura | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | East Shore | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Mercedes | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Tango | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wits and Wagers | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Elite Forces | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eli’s Promise | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lark’s Mischief | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Major Blue | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wake Surf | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ruggs | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| Lark’s Mischief | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lou Anna | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Partake | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dancing Princess | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Naughty Miss | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Choctaw Grace | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prix | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bette Davis | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yaree D Tat | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo’s Vino Mesa | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Flotation Station | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brody | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chun Money | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Evan On Earth | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mystik Dan | 2.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | National Eclipse | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Henro | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joe Shiesty | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Message | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Emperor | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eusebius | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stir Crazy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lilac Girl | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Music Street | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Anatolian | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queridinha Leca | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Provocative | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Creative Cairo | 2.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Gone | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Arsinoe | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Newyearspresent | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Battling Bubbles | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Dig | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Proud Performer | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Magic | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mikita | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amazon Barbie | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Robo | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Areuhavingfunyet | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Evie’s Encore | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Django | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Be You | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nyquist Frequency | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Resilience | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nullify | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nuevo Empire | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nash | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crusading | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Justifreak | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| Nash | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rungius | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Doctor Nash | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stirdatpot | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Watasha | 1.40 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liam the Brave | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seven Flat | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hoodlum | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Outadore | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arrest Me Red | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Front Run the Fed | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mark of the Z | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mischievous Rogue | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bad Beat Brian | 5.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heaven Street | 4.50 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Might | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Coppola | 12.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Cloudy | 12.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Edge to Edge | 20.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Sosua Summer | 12.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Purple Dream | 8.00 | 15.1 | 29-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Zoombie | 20.00 | 15.8 | 30-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Let My People Go | 6.00 | 15.8 | 30-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oceanic | 12.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Warp Nine | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Workislife | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rivetage | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Collins | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J Bird Time | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chaperone | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rapoport | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kitty Hawk | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hope Joe’s Right | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Masmak | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.