Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 12, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Grazia 0 0-1
1 1 She’s a Tempest 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Girl of My Dreams 3.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Grazia 1.20 2.2 4-1
4 4 Air Force Thunder 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Affair 1.80 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jamming Eddy 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Red Cross Knight 15.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Table for Ten 1.80 1.7 3-1
2 2 Mo Rewards 2.00 4 8-1
4 4 Zimba Warrior 3.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Elegant 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Pacific Rose 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Greer My Dear 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Great Forty Eight 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Nafisa 2.50 5.8 11-1
3 3 Flynn’s Chance 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rugelach 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Precocious Times 3.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Tickle My Fancy 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Firsttimeinforever 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Dolly May (IRE) 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Mahina 3.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Ropers N Wranglers 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tiff With Jimmy 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Unkept Secret 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Miss Commander 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Chevy Girl 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Geejaytee 15.00 4 8-1
7 7 Take Caramie 3.50 6 11-1
2 2 Always Smiling 3.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Colt Fiction 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Bag’s Gold 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Sauls Call 5.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Book Smart 2.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Minister Shane 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Amigo G A 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mr. Leasure 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Bandwagon 3.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Shot of Courage 15.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Tribal 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 American Hope 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Potential Spam 20.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Gold Foot 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 El Rey Rey 3.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Betty Grable S.) – Betty Grable S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Carmen Miranda 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Chancery Way 2.50 1.9 3-1
8 8 Rose Dawson 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Chismosa 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Glorious Spring 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Smoothlikebuttah 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Bella D 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Power Surge 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cali Bay (IRE) 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Jacks Outlaw 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Nauvoo 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 My Indy 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Taishan 6.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Buck Owens 20.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Soulmate 2.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Subsidize 4.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.