Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 12, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mufrih 1.60 1 2-1
12 12 Bandero 6.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Rule It 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Honor Gold 3.50 5.3 10-1
8 8 Noble and Kind 15.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Doc Ballard 30.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Bulletonthecharts 15.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Little Steven 30.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Tumiga 8.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Muchomachomac 15.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Redisur 30.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Noble Tiger 30.00 8.4 16-1
16 16 Brooklyn Dreams 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Paradise Drive 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Awesome City 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Gingersnap Jack 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Magicshadow 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Dontbesoogrouchy 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Flight Catcher 20.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Full Nelson 1.40 2.1 4-1
3 3 El Chato 3.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Summer Storm Stric 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Down in the Valley 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jigsaw 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Awesome Train 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Ekati King 6.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Dixie Preach 3.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Whateverwilbewilbe 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Beyond Reproach 30.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Runningthenumbers 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Love Hope Faith 4.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gullfaxi 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Belly Dance 30.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Darling Darley 1.80 4.4 8-1
5 5 Neom City 3.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Dream Diamond 20.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Queen Aiko 30.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Opus 2.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Swashbuckle 30.00 1 2-1
1 1 Thought 12.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Klugman 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Cashier Check 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Kartano 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Uno Tiger 20.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 You Talkin to Me 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Six Minus 3.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Fatima’s Blessing 12.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Rock the Stars 5.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Magic Moonstar 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Bahamian Moon 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 St. Pat’s Day 2.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Baby’s Dialed In 30.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Omo Ten Girl 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Ala Turka 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Gitana 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Peach Cobbler 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fivefive Six Champ 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Noble Drama 2.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Rod Two Rod 6.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Desert Ruler 2.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Hunter 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Coppermaster 3.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Slim Man 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Happyisashappydoes 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Backchat 3.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Starship Wizard 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Honesto 12.00 3 6-1
11 11 Knox 5.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Rare Jewel 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Belts ‘n Brooks 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Captain Anthony 8.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 C My Meister 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Ribbons and Medals 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Here Comes Bullet 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Warlord Cruzan 1.40 1 2-1
8 8 Drama’s Prayer 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Discreet Devil 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Capturethelaughter 3.50 4.5 8-1
5 5 Tejota 20.00 5 9-1
7 7 On Jet Heir 20.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Tiz a Tale 20.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Maximo 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Sergeant Sinatra 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.