Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 12, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dennison Girls 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Cluck Cluck 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 At First Sight 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Irish Rage 3.50 2.9 6-1
7 7 Just the Thing 30.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Little Crybaby 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Sheherhers 30.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Classy Chick 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Moncrief 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Freestanding 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Evenly Divided 8.00 3 6-1
12 12 Duckpins 15.00 3.2 6-1
13 13 Holla At Your Boy 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 C C Goldrush 10.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Reap What You Sow 12.00 4.7 9-1
15 15 Bubba Chrome 3.50 5.2 10-1
11 11 Casino Tricks 2.50 5.2 10-1
16 16 Strong Finish 4.50 5.6 11-1
2 2 Dr Rags 50.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Hampden Lane 30.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Katie’s Notion 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 He Rolls 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Rockin the Palace 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Landon Jack 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Uncaptured Storm 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Clubman 10.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Speargun 4.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Bobby G 12.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 American Patrol 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Sittin On Go 2.00 3 6-1
5 5 Class Actor 30.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Maximum Impact 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Trash Talkin Larry 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Harbor Moon 3.00 1 2-1
13 13 Sneaking Suspicion 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Longworth 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Rector 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Phobia 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Collect From Ike 5.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Go Take Charge 30.00 6.1 12-1
11 11 Moonflyer 15.00 6.4 12-1
15 15 Elevated Causeway 6.00 8.2 15-1
16 16 No Surrender 30.00 12.8 24-1
10 10 Legendaire 1.20 SCRATCH
14 14 Timo 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Weekend Charge 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Here’s Liam 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Heart N Soul 1.60 SCRATCH
1 1 Stormy Seas 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Inside Stunt 2.50 1 2-1
11 11 Here and Nofurther 5.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Mr. Mox 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Gallant Gold 6.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Notion to Tapit 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Blameitonthefun 30.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Bad Guy 30.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Captain Cardo 8.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Crownedcountcristo 20.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Mice and Men 30.00 8 15-1
1 1 One More Factor 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Great Workout 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lookin for Justice 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Mayfly 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ariel Moon 3.50 2.2 4-1
12 12 Donate Life 10.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Sharmin 6.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 My Sugar Boo 20.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Coracle 20.00 8.2 16-1
7 7 Spencer Tiara 8.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Vai Gattina 15.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Forever Mia 15.00 9.4 18-1
3 3 Blue Trillion 30.00 9.6 18-1
14 14 Rue Cambon 15.00 10.4 20-1
2 2 Outfactored 20.00 11.7 22-1
13 13 Discreet Ops 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Christinabarcelona 1.80 SCRATCH
16 16 Kapadokya 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Duela Dent 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Shaft’s Bullet 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Dee Jay 12.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 All Threes 4.50 2.2 4-1
10 10 Magic Michael 10.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Business Model 3.50 4.9 9-1
12 12 Holy Synchronicity 30.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Outlier 8.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Monday Morning Qb 15.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Dontmesawithme 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 It’s Sizzling Time 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Ain’t Da Beer Cold 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Hello Hot Rod 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 You Must Chill 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Rough Sea 1.80 3.1 6-1
5 5 Sir Terre 4.00 5 9-1
1 1 Gunslinger (IRE) 8.00 6 11-1
9 9 Bonded 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Petit Fils (FR) 20.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Papal Law 30.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Power Back 12.00 7.7 14-1
4 4 Lacco Ameno 30.00 8 15-1
2 2 Hunter Joe 8.00 8 15-1
12 12 Fortune’s Fool 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Front Man 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Tommy Bee 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Summer Anthem 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Fortunata Italia 15.00 1 2-1
7 7 Matoula 5.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 True Blue Pearl 2.50 2 4-1
8 8 Caged Pixie 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Sneaky Cheeky 30.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Sweet Talia 20.00 4 8-1
6 6 Raise Your Game 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Chica Rabiosa 3.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Congress Hall 20.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Gold Time Vixen 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Illusion of Hope 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.