Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 12, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Computer Hacker 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Scat Factor 12.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Be On Notice 2.50 1.8 3-1
9 9 Quandale 15.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Samurai Challenge 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Under Budget 20.00 3 6-1
1 1 Hurricane Deshambo 15.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Wetiko 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Issano 15.00 5 10-1
10 10 Haahee 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Forester’s Turn 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Big Investment 15.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Jamaican Jimmy 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Big Time Louie 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Exceed 12.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Executive Sight 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Highland Society 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Speedy Lynn 6.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Bound Lucky 2.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Crumlin Beast 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Julie’s Mist 8.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Dreams and Schemes 3.50 1.3 3-1
1 1 I’m a Bourbon Girl 20.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Holiday With Amy 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Rocket Riley 6.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Forest Vixen 12.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Proud Speaker 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Napa Spirit (IRE) 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Alicia’s Kid 4.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Chancel 15.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Master Spy 6.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 King Alfredo 20.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Tomcat Black 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Ghoul (BRZ) 3.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Wood Be Wild 20.00 7.7 14-1
3 3 Half Lit 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Competitive Touch 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Fast and Ready 4.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Sniper Jack 3.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Friendly Ghost 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Fascination Street 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Saint Templar 6.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Fifty B M G 15.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Awmik Side of Town 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Myra’s Boy 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Catholic Jackie 12.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Gun Court 4.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Lonhro’s Gamble 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Bearing Down 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Forest Flash 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Screen Legend 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Smart Almasty 20.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Mister Holden 6.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Kocktail Kid 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stayhonor Goodside 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Shamateur 20.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Goodluckmate 15.00 1.9 3-1
1 1 Victoria’s Chief 12.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Hungry Wolf 8.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Calusa Donnie 3.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Quiet Sunday 20.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Under Surveillance 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Guard of Honour 10.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Quiet Intent 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Reload’s Rebel 12.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sooner Lunar 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Mad Mocha 20.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Hilarious Affair 3.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Artie 3.50 5.9 11-1
10 10 Gran Spirited 10.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Blast in the Snow 6.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Posturing 20.00 7.6 14-1
11 11 Arms 20.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Mighty Sea 4.50 9.9 19-1
2 2 Gatling Gun 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Boston Tea Party 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Armstrong 10.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Red River Rebel 2.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 La Belleza Negra 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Forester’s Fortune 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Slipstream 2.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 There’s No Joe 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Silent Runner 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sir Seamus 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Hallie’s Hero 10.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Star Sign 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 City Mischief 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Four Aces High 20.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Forester Humor 20.00 4 8-1
7 7 Salvator Mundi 15.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Victory March 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 It’s a Fluke 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Venti 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Smokin Holiday 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 It’s Me Mario 20.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Street Serenade 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Opeechee 3.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Sing Dixie 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Brother Belen 6.00 6 11-1
4 4 Harper City 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Discovery Chart 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Seattle Point 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.