Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Warrior’s Star | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Breaking the Bank | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sazon | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Exotic’s Bear | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bread Winner | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magnet and Steel | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mingus | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Passion of Joe’s | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freeport | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Far From Final | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hacker | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tim’s Buddy | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trappe Valley | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Euro Suprise | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | North Side | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cabot | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fascinated | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | New Stripe | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fire Extinguisher | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Scarlet Position | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Hoppin | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Morena | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chive Up | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Okie Front | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lynn’s Folly | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diva de Kela | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Facester | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Acertive Miss | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Last Penalty | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Single Saturday | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Arkansas | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Highly Creative | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Girl With Attitude | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freckles | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gospel Spear | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Val E Girl | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sandy Creek | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Youneedtocalmdown | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seattle Wildcat | 1.80 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | United Sister | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiny Fortune | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Birdie Be Gone | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mariah’s Candy | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Penny | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hunny Hush | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trip to Freedom | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kiss Upon a Star | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Summer Cat | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rusty | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Without Equal | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Tap | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Parking Lot | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Seeker | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Capala | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dr Vinnie Boombatz | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Northwind | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Let Me Love You | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tahkodha Knight | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lord Crew | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | What About Jimmy | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prince Curlin | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sidetown | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Imperial Red Bird | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fort Hood | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Uptown Hustler | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Banjo Bear | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Say It Nicely | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fearless Prince | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whistler | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shell Shocker | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dixie Fury | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Chances Taken | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Fillip | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clearwater Sunset | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | El Encanto | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Winning | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pacific Theater | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Ask Watts | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | First Bid | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | David’s Faith | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ask Willie | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Legend of Gold | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Foo Flighter | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.