Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, November 14, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Holy Berries 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Moonlite in Heaven 2.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Dorothy’s the Boss 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Cash On First 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 La La Lucy 12.00 4 8-1
1 1 Cape Neddick 3.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Kefaliani 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Amalfi Lady 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Aunt Berra 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Angelic Gal 8.00 1.3 3-1
3 3 All Hail Mo 2.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Louella Street 3.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Wicked Lady 15.00 3 6-1
7 7 Lord Joan 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Incomparable 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Say No More 20.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Ruby Dooby Doo 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Colonel Juan 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 More Than a Dance 1.60 2 4-1
5 5 Cartier Cat 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Jo Jo Katz 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 He’ssosubtle 20.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 We Be There 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 True Dakotan 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Big John 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Long Legged Boy 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 On the Come Up 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Big Warden 4.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Wheresthepassion 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Dadashev 12.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Imagine This 5.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Liar Side Chat 2.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Hornbeam 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 Let It Flow Joe 2.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Singinthruthestorm 10.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Et’s Magic Man 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Sovereign Change 20.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Kodapendent 5.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Cape Hedge 15.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Mr. Einstein 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Smarthumor 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ruthenian 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Roan Burgundy 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Whiskeymac 20.00 1 2-1
4 4 Laytown 3.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 In Spades 4.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Secret Alliance 10.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Big Beemster 15.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Thtwasthenthisisnw 20.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Warrior’s Vendetta 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Smarten Up 12.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Thistle 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Le Vin 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Deposition 2.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Lonesome Boy 6.00 2 4-1
1 1 Party At Sam’s 4.50 6.1 12-1
6 6 Dry Dock 6.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Pops Harper 4.50 6.2 12-1
7 7 Sheer Dominance 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Our Uptown Girl 15.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mary Q 3.50 1.1 2-1
8 8 Sugar Smile 4.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Burano 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Boss Like Beth 20.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Thegoddessofsnakes 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 La Regalada 8.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Gingers Wish 5.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Social Lady 2.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kobe B 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Talented Man 1.80 1.5 3-1
5 5 Iconic Legacy 4.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 O’Conner Sunset 6.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Irish Exit 8.00 2 4-1
6 6 A C Expressway 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Ten Gauge 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Upfor Parole 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Keep Dem Talking 3.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Kaique 2.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 The Grayt Pumpkin 10.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Bubby Papermaker 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Shea D Capture 30.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 Lord Seabee 30.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 E T’s Demon Fire 20.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Doctor Magic 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Uptown Shoes 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Boy Is It Hot 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.