Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, November 15, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Bootsie’s Galaxy 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Missed the Boat 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Eye Dee Kay 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Gold Crusher 5.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Cousvinnysacanuck 8.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Double Thunder 4.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 In the Arch 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Sperle 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Dried Pepper 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Seau 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mosquito Fleet 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kahaal 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Adieu Aces 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Custom Prayer 3.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Priced Right 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Classic Red Racer 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Flower Cat 4.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Half a Buck 10.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Love to Singh 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Styling Hook 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Alphin 10.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 A Fool for Carlos 20.00 4 8-1
2 2 Cole’s Sensation 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Smooth Custom 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 St Pierre 15.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 True Crimson 5.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Tincan Cat 6.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Graysons Malagra 6.00 8.2 16-1
11 11 Kilo Key 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Iron N Steel 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Hawaiian Argument 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mbagnick (CHI) 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Wise Verdict 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Sammy Danseur Jr. 4.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Blue Cheese 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Extirpator 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Fleetridge 8.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Smart N Intuitive 10.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 American Code 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Royal Consort 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 New Dice 4.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Let’s Go Random 3.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 Weird Year 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Carlos’ Blast 12.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Barahin 8.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 G’s Storm 6.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Byathread 15.00 8.2 15-1
9 9 Homeland Messa 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pickin Ana Grinnin 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Miss Darlene 12.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Miss Tulsa 1.80 3 6-1
7 7 Riobella 12.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Rosie’s Angus 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Absolutely 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Addi Bug 10.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 R T’s Gem 8.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Magna Colors 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Draft Choice 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Mo Credo 8.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Hot Le Roy 12.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Reddingandlee 12.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Jeffrow 4.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Throwin’ Shade 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Callinginthenight 10.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Bet Again 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Tonteria 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Upturned Brim 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Drewmania 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Defiant Malice 5.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Mr. Shorty 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 Michael’s Moon 6.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 The Donegal Clan 12.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Legendary Dragon 12.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Hello Mr Copeland 20.00 7.7 14-1
5 5 Hastkrafter 10.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Cowboy Cause 20.00 9.8 19-1
12 12 Konteekee 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Motor City 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.