Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nickel Nickel | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dangerous Mind | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Practicallymine | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Merging Traffic | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Social Joe | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sette Stelle | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Popper | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Principe | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Peach Perfect | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ms Merrabel | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Solemn Oath | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Madame Rouge | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tilsa | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heart Light | 3.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Iyiyi | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sirenetta | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Causalistic | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Einstein | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | True Dakotan | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Long Gray Line | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hard Sting | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Artistic Reason | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Relativlea | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shudabeenacowgirl | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reigert Girls | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Breezy Dance | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Corona Campione | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warrior On the Run | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gray Lightning | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kate’s Love | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summersattheshore | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Apollonia Vitelli | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leave Drama Behind | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Emily’s On Fire | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Modern Midas | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Harley’s Charly | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Haney Boys | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bullet Butch | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Catching Cupid | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eddiemush | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mizzen Man | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Give It a Go | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Caddy Man | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Go Green | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wegottaguy | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Alonzo Mosely | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sailor’s Return | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Tuttle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Kabod | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | W. P. Cadet | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Peak of Chic | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ifihadachance | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valuable Breigh | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | This Round’s Mine | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cabra Chica | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Peyton’s College | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Akemi | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vitaemi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Windsor Gold | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | McCrakens Ghost | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | John Dutton | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winnin’onweekends | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Hoppertunity | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saint Marco | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scoop Dawg | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Louie’s Law | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Beachfront Breeze | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kiss for Luck | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sirani | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aoife’s Magic | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sharp Eyes | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bailintin | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | First Joke | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Betsy Is the Gal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Keithsendshelloooo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Didinger | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Day | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tap in Formation | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gremlin | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | President Z | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hemp | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Puttheblameonme | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Capital Conquest | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paradise Valley | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Wagon Boss | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nick the Cardshark | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Portal One | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Living Water | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Neigh Dude | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cousin Andrew | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Amigos Guitar | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hope for Gold | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hide the Ransom | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lazaretto | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Indirectly | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cabinet Pik | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.