Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 16, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dreaming of Mo 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Tooshay 12.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Paris Style (FR) 1.40 2.2 4-1
4 4 African Waters 1.60 4.2 8-1
1 1 Allegedly 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Buckortwo 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Camm’ Duke 10.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Three Zero 3.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Burn Jakey Burn 15.00 3 6-1
5 5 Mudville Nine 3.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Playingwithmatches 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Face Abarrio 3.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Will Be Famous 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Munny Grab 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Practical Royalty 4.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Scarlet’s Dream 10.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Miss Bourbon 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Saving Memories 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Poseidon’s Mist 10.00 4 8-1
7 7 H M S Victory 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Ekwanok 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Diamond Collector 12.00 1 2-1
1 2 Howzyourcashflow 1.60 2.3 4-1
1A 6 Chasing Daylight 1.60 3.9 7-1
7 8 Racing Colors 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 1 Jolly Miss Jill 2.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Angelas Party Girl 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 9 Amity Island 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Moonboots 12.00 SCRATCH
6 7 Vintage 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 9 Commerce Comet 4.50 1 2-1
11 12 Khafre 3.00 2.4 5-1
10 11 Ski Patrol 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 7 Amani’s Eagle 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Moving Pictures 8.00 4.3 8-1
12 13 Big Save 12.00 5.5 10-1
1A 4 Charger 8.00 5.7 11-1
9 10 Counterfeitcurency 12.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Tommy Gun 6.00 6.6 12-1
5 6 Hometown Hero 15.00 7.3 14-1
7 8 John’s Protege 15.00 7.3 14-1
4 5 High School Crush 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Island d’Lite 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Clever Forever 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Beary Funny 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Scherzando 8.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Caldo Candy 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Fortune’s Nephew 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Clancy Fancy 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Twirling Vine 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Friday I’m in Love 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Be of Courage 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Lord Flintshire 4.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Rocket and Roll 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Lt. Mitchell 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Sell Something 15.00 3.7 7-1
12 12 Noble Huntsman 20.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Zapruder 20.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Barrel of Quests 12.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Shinsun 4.50 5.2 10-1
5 5 Courageoous Oh La 20.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Leftembehind 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Top Envoy 30.00 7.4 14-1
13 13 Sonic Speed 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Trappe the Dream 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Bourbon Chase 3.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Leo and Royal 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mz Big Bucks 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Timely Conquest 2.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Cousin Kristi 6.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Fontanafredda 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Sweetest Princess 10.00 6 11-1
8 8 Majestic Return 4.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Tempermental 4.50 7.9 15-1
1 1 Carbon 15.00 8 15-1
4 4 Silver Fist 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 War Officer 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Heart N Soul 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Triumphant Road 30.00 3 6-1
1 1 Scat Tu Tap 20.00 3.1 6-1
12 12 Champagne Juan 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Nostalgic One 10.00 3.4 7-1
7 7 Wild Guess 20.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Take Me to Jimmy 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Pujol 50.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 One Bite 20.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Brees 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Right to Win (IRE) 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.