Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Early Dawn | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Our Clover Gal | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lunch Lady | 4.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Piece of Me | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grace’s Soldier | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bridled Up | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Apriority Girl | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roadside Girl | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thursday Morning | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brooke’s All In | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ketanji | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Xtrafrieswithat | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Catalina Queen | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Custom Darling | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sadie’s Ransom | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mardi Gras Alarm | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moody Rafaela | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I’m All Mixed Up | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A P Humor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | That Is Awesome | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gypsy Jackpot | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fast Out | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Bead Lady | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Revival | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cupie Cutie | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wheels Like Nala | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Reina’s Vision | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grace’s Vision | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queen’s Soldier | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Starship Nola | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Daisy de Oro | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Papa Jojo | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El It | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Edge | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trabr’s Creed | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Midway | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Welcometoarkansas | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Bella Brown | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sermononthemount | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Discreet Invasion | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Outlaw X. | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Louis Le Grande | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mamacallmeboo | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Honor My Speed | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Adieu Le Chat | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dealin’ Stelen | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Temprano | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Smoky Topaz | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Louie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rhonda Ruth | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mariah | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Saint | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Valerie’s Chance | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Millie’s Destiny | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Leona | 1.40 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Warm Fuzzies | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Gumbow | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Two Jet | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | That’s My Mama | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cute Dinero Queen | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Jambalaya | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Luminous Flight | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Target | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Where’s Aunt J | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Run Natalie Run | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Caliente Lady | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hey Jackson | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Noble Connection | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shankinstine | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ghost Cowboy | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grosse Tete Ian | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Treasure Coast | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | R T’s d’Oro | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chief Kimosabi | 3.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prince Simba | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.