Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 16, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hateful 30.00 1 2-1
9 9 Duela Dent 10.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Christinabarcelona 2.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Independence Way 2.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Public Defender 4.50 8.1 15-1
5 5 Style and Profile 30.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Champagne Please 5.00 9 17-1
4 4 Discreet Ops 20.00 9 17-1
1 1 C C Royal 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Willow Wood 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Imagine It All 5.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Covert Kat 4.50 2.2 4-1
11 11 Summer Anthem 15.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Good Knight Nile 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Running River 20.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Bail Out 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Super E 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Maybe It’s Time 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Seville Row 20.00 6.4 12-1
15 15 Switzer 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Star Shopping 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Husband Material 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Victim of the Nite 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Kerness 1.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Chelonian 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Wild Behavior 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Top Boss 3.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Nottoway 2.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Justinspeightofit 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Mocephus 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Power Agenda 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Mundo Mix 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Grand Manner 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Savoy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Swan Lake 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Riccio 6.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Saketumi 20.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 John Hall 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Beyond the Pale 15.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Happy Cat 8.00 4 8-1
8 8 Ghostlyprince 1.80 4.3 8-1
11 11 Vax a Nation 10.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Hachure 30.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Hay Chief 30.00 7 13-1
13 13 Arrio 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Duquesne 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Sheriff Ronnie 1.60 SCRATCH
1 1 Grand Pick 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 3 Rubys Flash 1.80 1 2-1
11 11 My Endeavor 6.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Simon’s Choice 15.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Dashing d’Artagnan 15.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Tortola 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Gino Thinkaboutit 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 1 Seeker 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Not Thistimerandy 20.00 7.4 14-1
3 2 Imagine the Glory 20.00 8 15-1
4 4 Gabriel Seven 30.00 8.7 16-1
12 12 R B Took the Odds 20.00 9.1 17-1
1A 13 Minny Speightster 1.80 SCRATCH
7 7 Malibu Slew 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lucci 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Mid Day Image 4.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Rebel Posse 3.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Deep Cover 8.00 2.4 4-1
9 9 Cheers for Kitten 4.50 4.1 8-1
12 12 Tauber 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Bodecream 8.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Cannon’s Roar 5.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Putin Online 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Stanhope 50.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Brazillionaire 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 B Determined 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Kenny Had a Notion 50.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Rominski 2.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Chuck Willis (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Take Charge Too 10.00 1 2-1
8 8 Take a Hint 4.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Odinson 20.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Find Faith 30.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Berlone 6.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Cajun Dream 8.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Street Hustle 10.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Saloon 5.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Calming Storm 15.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Energy Efficient 20.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Friar Tuck 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Amity Road 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Derbyness 4.00 1 2-1
12 12 Blame the Tux 12.00 2.2 4-1
13 13 Tocayo 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Massif 1.80 3 6-1
2 2 Street Rockin 15.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 American War Hero 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Chat Blanc 4.50 5 10-1
14 14 Cigale 15.00 5.6 11-1
15 15 Charles J 30.00 9 17-1
7 7 Thedingoateyobaby 1.40 SCRATCH
10 10 Masakado 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Cataleya Strike 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 K’s Storm Ready 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Cap Com 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 His Rights 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mister Agent 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Buckin’ Dreamer 1.40 2.8 5-1
5 5 Whiskeyinthejaro 3.50 5 9-1
2 2 Square Slice 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Three Captains 8.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Better Watch It 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Wonder Wonderland 30.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Sin Permiso 30.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Brother Lad 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.