Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 16, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Vandoo 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Novel 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Classy Image 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Gradevole 12.00 5 9-1
3 3 Just Follow Me 2.00 6 11-1
2 2 Different Drum 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Grand Ambition 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Serenade At Sea 4.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Midnight Moonshine 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Collaborative 20.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Yorkville 20.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Passthepuddinpleaz 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Echo With Laughter 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Snookered 15.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Very Debonaire 6.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Butwaitthere’smore 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Unified Front 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Text Me Up 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 A Gal for T J 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Stole the Ring 10.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Absolute Jewel 12.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Phil in Echo 8.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Tis a Pity 4.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Spirit Belle 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Gormley Girl 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sonet’s Name 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Loaded Vixen 12.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Hit and Run 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Wicked Miah 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Lois 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Mi Tormenta 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Airy Fairy 20.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 More Savvy 8.00 5.6 10-1
10 10 Baby Mo 20.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Awildas Treasure 20.00 9.3 18-1
12 12 No Whammie 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Charlotte’s Silver 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Quiet Intent 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Moment of Peace 6.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Magnificent Mario 3.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Sovereign Cause 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Bajan Bullet 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Basketball Jones 2.50 5.6 11-1
4 4 Secret Storm 8.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Agile Dancer 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Silent Sky 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Foxy Diva 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Bijou Baby 3.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Bedazzle Me 10.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Friends for Life 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Moral Turpitude 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Queen Gypsy 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Inscrutable 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Umneyaat 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Cloud Storage 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 No More Diamonds 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Sweet Serenade 2.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Very Savvy 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Trizzel Trazzel 10.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Helluva Holiday 12.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Chrome’s Angel 20.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Lincolnville Beach 15.00 9.2 17-1
4 4 Makes Sense to Me 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fedaline 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Tamana 2.50 1.3 2-1
12 12 Bosskaye 8.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Gold Forester 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Taylormoon 20.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Golden Train 10.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 Lulu’s Lullaby 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Thatsitthatsall 20.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Forest Choice 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 I’m Exceptional 20.00 6.6 13-1
9 9 Bittersweetbizness 20.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Hermione Granger 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.