Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 17, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stolen Magic 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Wajda 3.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Livehappy 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Sardis 5.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Bonus Move 8.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Allegrini 12.00 7 13-1
4 4 Corporate Power 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Aleah Aleah 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Dudley Dickerson 0 0-1
8 8 Aula 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Dudley Dickerson 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Silent Running 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Watch Hill 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Munny for Nuthin 4.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Waflr 10.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Lookin’ to Win 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Knockzcatoffzfence 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 5 Emaraaty (GB) 1.60 1 2-1
8 9 Running Bee 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 1 Carpenters Call 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 2 Ocala Dream 1.60 4.9 9-1
6 6 Crabs N Beer 12.00 6.6 12-1
9 10 Maxwell Esquire 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 3 Wow Whata Summer 15.00 7 13-1
7 7 Nolo Contesto 20.00 7.1 13-1
2 8 High Tide 12.00 7.3 14-1
2B 12 Bourbon Calling 12.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Dripping Gold 4.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Midnight Trouble 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hatch 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Bad Larry 2.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Flash Kiss 10.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Built to Last 10.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Gun Maestro 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Legendary Lore 5.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Predicted 5.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 M B’s Munning 10.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Sorpreso 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Inonit 0 0-1
1 1 Quiet Wisdom 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sweet Tone 30.00 4 8-1
4 4 Prophetic 6.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Inonit 20.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Vin Santo 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Brick Ambush 4.50 4.6 9-1
8 8 Judge Rules 3.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Podere 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Mama’s Middie 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Tepin S.) – Tepin S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Memorialize 0 0-1
3 3 Memorialize 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Gold Lightning 3.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Awesome Czech 12.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Artemis Girl 20.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Voter Registration (FR) 4.50 6 11-1
6 6 Being Betty 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Living Magic 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Scorpia 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Antenna 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Brocknardini 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Most of All 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Nova Rags 1.80 1 2-1
6 7 Gun It 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 5 Kinetic Sky 3.50 4 8-1
2 2 Scaramouche 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Baby Yoda 4.50 5 9-1
1 1 Chewing Gum 6.00 6.9 13-1
1A 4 Synthesis 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Autumn Days S.) – Autumn Days S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Lady Milagro 0 0-1
8 8 Poppy Flower 3.00 1 2-1
12 12 Danse Macabre 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Loon Cry 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 All That Magic 4.50 3.7 7-1
10 10 Headland 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Sterling Silver 6.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Itsakeyper 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Lady Milagro 30.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Salvaje 20.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Can’t Buy Love 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mail Order 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Hot Fudge 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Risk Free 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Unified Alliance 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Roagna 0 0-1
2 1 Starts Now 4.00 1 2-1
7 6 Shelly 3.50 2 4-1
5 4 Voleuse 5.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Lady Laoban 8.00 3.8 7-1
12 12 Accelerina 20.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Malu 10.00 4.8 9-1
1A 13 Turriga 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 3 Miss Fashionista 15.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 She’s a Natural 20.00 6.4 12-1
8 7 Boston Strong Mama 15.00 6.7 13-1
3 2 Sainte Chapelle 10.00 7 13-1
1 9 Roagna 6.00 11.5 22-1
6 5 North End Lady 8.00 SCRATCH
13 14 Krystalheir 12.00 SCRATCH
14 15 Eastern Star 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.