Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stolen Magic | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wajda | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Livehappy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sardis | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bonus Move | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Allegrini | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Corporate Power | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Aleah Aleah | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dudley Dickerson | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 8 | 8 | Aula | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dudley Dickerson | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Running | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Watch Hill | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Munny for Nuthin | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Waflr | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lookin’ to Win | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Knockzcatoffzfence | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Emaraaty (GB) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Running Bee | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Carpenters Call | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Ocala Dream | 1.60 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crabs N Beer | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Maxwell Esquire | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wow Whata Summer | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nolo Contesto | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 8 | High Tide | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2B | 12 | Bourbon Calling | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Dripping Gold | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Midnight Trouble | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hatch | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bad Larry | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flash Kiss | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Built to Last | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gun Maestro | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Legendary Lore | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Predicted | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | M B’s Munning | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sorpreso | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inonit | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Quiet Wisdom | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Tone | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prophetic | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Inonit | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vin Santo | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brick Ambush | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Judge Rules | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Podere | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mama’s Middie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Tepin S.) – Tepin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memorialize | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Memorialize | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gold Lightning | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Czech | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Artemis Girl | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Voter Registration (FR) | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Being Betty | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Living Magic | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Scorpia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Antenna | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Brocknardini | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Most of All | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Nova Rags | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Gun It | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Kinetic Sky | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scaramouche | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Yoda | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chewing Gum | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Synthesis | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Autumn Days S.) – Autumn Days S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lady Milagro | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Poppy Flower | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Danse Macabre | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Loon Cry | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | All That Magic | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Headland | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sterling Silver | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Itsakeyper | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Milagro | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Salvaje | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Can’t Buy Love | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mail Order | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hot Fudge | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Risk Free | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Unified Alliance | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roagna | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 1 | Starts Now | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shelly | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Voleuse | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Laoban | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Accelerina | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Malu | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Turriga | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Fashionista | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | She’s a Natural | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Boston Strong Mama | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sainte Chapelle | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 9 | Roagna | 6.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | North End Lady | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Krystalheir | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 15 | Eastern Star | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.