Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wiki Lio | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Markswoman | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Long Black Veil | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mahomebred | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zero Click | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Insightful Miss | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | April Clover | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baytown Angel | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wisco Disco | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Too Fast for You | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fessy | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Lesson | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nursekringledances | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Acclaim | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adiva | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s So Malice | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perceptive | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dont Cross Boudica | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cause Ima Rose | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cathedral Beach | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Senor Jobim | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Populist | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | That Khenny | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boise | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Improbable Story | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Commander Carl | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Monkey Zone | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Furious Anger | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dazzlemesilver | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Accident | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Added Mischief | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Upstart | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Naughtyson | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Noto | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Isa Lei | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miwoman | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Lexi | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lindsey | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Splendid | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pray for Champagne | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queen’s Notice | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bent Halo | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| Pray for Champagne | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | You Ain’t Poppn | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ghazaaly | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dai Vernon | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Single Dot Yaht | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cant Be Doin That | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tejas | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mobster Gun | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Redemption Time | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Outadore | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Excess Magic | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Artemus Citylimits | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Ambivalent | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Say When | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Voodoo Zip | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bohemian Bo | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Field Day | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go West | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Willtorun | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zoombie | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vulcan | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Of the Moment | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Colosseo | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| Excess Magic | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Highland Falls | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smile Mon | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Redeemer | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ten Days Later | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J J’s Joker | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just Battle | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baseline Beater | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bubba Can Dance | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Emirates Road | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.