Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Boginskaya |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vulin |
0.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Best Year Ever |
15.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fast Investment |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Round in Circles |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Exclusive Joni |
1.20 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Man O Rose |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grand Tiger |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Antonsen |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
More Try |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rhythem On Stage |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
La Paloma Blanca |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sweet Mother Mary |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
American Heights |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Yolo Calls |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Blonde Bombshell |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Quaria Thunder |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Issa Court |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rose Barton (IRE) |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Katerini |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Unfaithful Ways |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
On Purpose |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Bad Sneakers |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mixto |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Excel Calculator |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mauna Kea Bound |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pioneer Prince |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ship and Scam |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Immelmann |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shady Tiger |
3.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Clements Ride |
3.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Annan |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Monsieur |
8.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Curlin’s Kaos |
6.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Prince Prancealot |
12.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jetfire |
12.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
9 |
9 |
Stagger Lee |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Beer Money |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Fact Or Fiction |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Don’t Hit Me Bash |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Lamporghini |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Smiling Jojo |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Fort Bragg |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sir Atticus |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Positivity |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Classic Car Wash |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
C Z Rocket |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Radical Right |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Super Chief |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Talklessworkmore |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Billy’s Bet |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fore Flag |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Yo Time |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Luka Grazie |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Alpine Thunder |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bigofromfresno |
3.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Silent Heat |
8.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bravestone |
15.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Big Coupe |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Discretionary Day |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Barely Funtional |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Meesh |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.