Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 17, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Boginskaya 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Vulin 0.40 1 2-1
6 6 Best Year Ever 15.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Fast Investment 5.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Round in Circles 15.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Exclusive Joni 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Man O Rose 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Grand Tiger 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Antonsen 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 More Try 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Rhythem On Stage 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 La Paloma Blanca 1.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sweet Mother Mary 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 American Heights 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Yolo Calls 4.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Blonde Bombshell 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Quaria Thunder 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Issa Court 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Rose Barton (IRE) 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Katerini 3.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Unfaithful Ways 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 On Purpose 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bad Sneakers 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Mixto 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Excel Calculator 2.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Mauna Kea Bound 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Pioneer Prince 4.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Ship and Scam 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Immelmann 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Shady Tiger 3.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Clements Ride 3.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Annan 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Monsieur 8.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Curlin’s Kaos 6.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Prince Prancealot 12.00 9.7 18-1
4 4 Jetfire 12.00 9.9 19-1
9 9 Stagger Lee 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Beer Money 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Fact Or Fiction 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Don’t Hit Me Bash 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Lamporghini 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Smiling Jojo 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fort Bragg 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Sir Atticus 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Positivity 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Classic Car Wash 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 C Z Rocket 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Radical Right 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Super Chief 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Talklessworkmore 5.00 2 4-1
7 7 Billy’s Bet 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Fore Flag 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Yo Time 12.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Luka Grazie 3.50 4.8 9-1
9 9 Alpine Thunder 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Bigofromfresno 3.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Silent Heat 8.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Bravestone 15.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 Big Coupe 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Discretionary Day 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Barely Funtional 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Meesh 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.