Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 17, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Love a Fighter 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Golduster 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Marketbook 6.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 C C’s Legacy 6.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 All of Us 10.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Wicked Tough 5.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Custom Crescent 12.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Big Russss 15.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Sunset War 20.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Cottonclub Soldier 20.00 9.7 18-1
11 11 Jesuit 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Moro Flashback 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mor Kisses 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Lake Bali 8.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Just a Win 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Julio Choice 10.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Who Dat Ginger 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Reina Aces 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Nownowdancer 6.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Saberfight 10.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Bye Bye Big Baby 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Livvy Lou 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Glamordini 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Gatsby’s Fortune 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Hymn for Carlos 4.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Cajun Cyclone 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Hangin’ Tuff 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Magnolia Speed 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Top Priority 5.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Custom Star 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Smokey G 10.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 B D Primary Ours 20.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Lucky Is My Name 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Carpe Horseshoe 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 Shesaheatwave 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Juliard Honor 3.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Glance 6.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Bitsy C C Lil Girl 12.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Jazz Brunch 8.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Royal Bonus 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Seriously Sam 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 La Tress Gray 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Tennessee Moon 2.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Iron Lotus 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Lil Adeau 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Hey Madalyn Claire 12.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 Knights Sword 12.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Sassy Emma 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Sara’s Sapphire 15.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Custom Guitar 20.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Sense of Flurry 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Marks Promise 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 George Allen 12.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Scarlettsblackjack 15.00 4 8-1
2 2 Wise Anchor 5.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Hail State 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Guitar Doctor 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 Heza Sexy Zong 12.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Relentless Dancer 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Speaktomeoflove 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ourperfectprincess 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lil Miss de Buy 8.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Building Home 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Hurricane Tizway 5.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Bind On Earth 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Itsnotmyjob 10.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Stella’s Surprise 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Point of Victory 12.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Donnas Final Word 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Jolly Tommy 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Affirm Chief 12.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Seize the Treasure 6.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Spheroid 20.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Tiz Donegal 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Midnight Rules 20.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Far Beyond 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Mosquito Fleet 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Heir to Greatness 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mongolian Bee 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Astern Banker 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Holiday Run 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Moon Time 4.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Call Me Firey 8.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Moro Beard 4.50 4.7 9-1
8 8 Rocky Boy 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Computerized 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Red October 5.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Strike a Bargain 15.00 8.2 15-1
7 7 Toast to the Girls 20.00 9 17-1
12 12 Kilo Key 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Steauxlit 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.