Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Starburst | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | West Warpath | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Herd Immunity | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Special Breed | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gallant Star | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Homeview | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bibleman | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | When’s Tee Time | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Sierra Hotel | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Wise | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little G T | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mountain Pine | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chaosmos | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Optimus Kat | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bakeneko | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Easter Snap | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ioya Again | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Monarchs Glen (GB) | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Niles Channel | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pharaoh’s Prophecy | 50.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thisguycanfly | 50.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Fast Break | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Moment | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mary Jack | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Nannette No | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Lana | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Alibi | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honorary Guest | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moonlight Rain | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bows N Lace | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Caviar Resolution | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Morning Line News | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | J Z’s First | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Averi Ever After | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sounds Like Power | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jackson D | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ells | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | House Bourbon | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mister Banderas | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pass On Nothing | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Handsome Harold | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bobby Two Shot’s | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speightful One | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A G’s Gem | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tdzshininluckystar | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deacon Jones | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Skinny Bobby | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Puppeteer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cat County | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sonofaship | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Day | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Rose | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Old Alliance | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gametime Gladiator | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dapper Dude | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | El Perfecto | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Warrior’s Run | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ricky Bobby | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Rum ‘n Tonic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Moreau | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Quaternion | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Doris Hebert Memorial S.) – Doris Hebert Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Free Like a Girl | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beleout | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First I’ve Seen | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Free Drop Maddy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wupkar | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Olivia G | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rue Lala | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Royal O’Haigain | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Wholelottamo | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Priority | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blessed Assurance | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Modern Sound | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tipsy Runner | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smiling Ellie | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hauntress | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Chai | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Joke Master | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Scaloneta | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lola’s Light | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mia Marcela | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Signing | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Vortex | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ragtime Lady | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sotona | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Berlaine | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Frost and Fire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Greyhound Station | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (John Valene Memorial S.) – John Valene Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | A G’s Charlotte | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fort Polk | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Box of Pictures | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sabra Tuff | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tensas Candy | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Liberty | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vale Male | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Free Like a Girl | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | For Harper | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Donovan L. Ferguson Memorial S.) – Donovan L. Ferguson Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Clearly a Test | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Accommodate Eva | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Emily’s Bullet | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond Deal | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kentucky Cajun | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lightofmaine | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tommie G | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Running Argument | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Takeover Queen | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Astrology Girl | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sarah’s Court | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Saved by Grace | 20.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Good N Sassy | 15.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Jaydyn Cat | 12.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.