Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Smiles for David |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Jimmy Is a Breeze |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Look At Lil Sister |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Gentle Seas |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tangerine Twist |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Smart Irene |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Classicalcrossover |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ferocious Queen |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hard Rock Warrior |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Shez a Sealy |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Gunnawin |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gavel Girl |
15.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mo Tough |
1.60 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lookhowpretty |
10.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lady Eva |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lady Gabrielle |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Few Regrets |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blackmarsh |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wild Queenie |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Moet Monet |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Bringer of Rain |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Enchant Me |
8.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nonno’s Little Boy |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Be Like Clint |
15.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mt Logan |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stormin Dave |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Four K Force |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Executive Chairman |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Three Sonny Sideup |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tourist’s Dream |
20.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lucys Child |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
It Worked |
4.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Orphan Hallie |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Copinsay |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Executive Giant |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
First Spring |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
4 |
4 |
Swath |
6.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Aramos |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mia and Me |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bet N Win |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sea to Air |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
River of Babylon |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bartica |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Benlion |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stronger Together |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Valyrian Sky |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Contrivance |
20.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
He Shoots He Wins |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Clarence B |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hard Diamond |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Eat Food Everyday |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Perfect Forest |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fabelman |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Halcon Negro |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tech Wizard |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
I’ve Decided |
12.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Cornwall |
10.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
13 |
13 |
Sugar It’s Eli |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Priceless Will |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Richiesinthehouse |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
One More Brew |
20.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Quite Ready |
4.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Luv to Win |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Bossy Holiday |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Souper Classy |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Downy Boy |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Big Executive |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Souper River |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lenny K |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Allen Diggs |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Neophyte |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Smart Coverage |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Jmr Speedy Escape |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rolling Hills |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Reload Bullet |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lake Shore Drive |
8.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Spanish Prince |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Confusing |
20.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
10 |
10 |
I Live by Faith |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Muskoka Summer |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Silver Sign |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gav’s Dream Girl |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Telltale |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ashlee’s Ring |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Moonbright |
4.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
13 |
13 |
Krypto Gains |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hot Omelet |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lillz Hope |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mountain Sound |
8.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
5 |
5 |
War’s End Kiss |
20.00 |
11.6 |
22-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bridge to Nowhere |
10.00 |
11.9 |
23-1 |
12 |
12 |
Its a Birdie |
20.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.