Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 17, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Smiles for David 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Jimmy Is a Breeze 8.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Look At Lil Sister 4.00 2 4-1
10 10 Gentle Seas 10.00 3 6-1
6 6 Tangerine Twist 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Smart Irene 20.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Classicalcrossover 20.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Ferocious Queen 15.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Hard Rock Warrior 20.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Shez a Sealy 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gunnawin 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Gavel Girl 15.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Mo Tough 1.60 1.8 3-1
5 5 Lookhowpretty 10.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Lady Eva 4.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Lady Gabrielle 10.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Few Regrets 12.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Blackmarsh 20.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Wild Queenie 15.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Moet Monet 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bringer of Rain 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Enchant Me 8.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Nonno’s Little Boy 2.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Be Like Clint 15.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Mt Logan 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Stormin Dave 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Four K Force 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Executive Chairman 20.00 1 2-1
9 9 Three Sonny Sideup 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Tourist’s Dream 20.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Lucys Child 2.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 It Worked 4.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Orphan Hallie 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Copinsay 12.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Executive Giant 12.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 First Spring 20.00 9.8 18-1
4 4 Swath 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Aramos 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mia and Me 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Bet N Win 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Sea to Air 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 River of Babylon 10.00 4 8-1
7 7 Bartica 15.00 4 8-1
8 8 Benlion 15.00 4 8-1
4 4 Stronger Together 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Valyrian Sky 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Contrivance 20.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 He Shoots He Wins 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Clarence B 20.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Hard Diamond 3.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Eat Food Everyday 20.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Perfect Forest 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Fabelman 5.00 4.7 9-1
12 12 Halcon Negro 20.00 5 9-1
10 10 Tech Wizard 15.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 I’ve Decided 12.00 6.6 13-1
11 11 Cornwall 10.00 7.2 14-1
13 13 Sugar It’s Eli 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Priceless Will 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Richiesinthehouse 3.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 One More Brew 20.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Quite Ready 4.50 2.4 4-1
8 8 Luv to Win 10.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Bossy Holiday 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Souper Classy 10.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 Downy Boy 4.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Big Executive 20.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Souper River 20.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Lenny K 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Allen Diggs 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Neophyte 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Smart Coverage 4.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Jmr Speedy Escape 8.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Rolling Hills 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Reload Bullet 12.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Lake Shore Drive 8.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Spanish Prince 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Confusing 20.00 9.7 18-1
10 10 I Live by Faith 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Muskoka Summer 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Silver Sign 15.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Gav’s Dream Girl 15.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Telltale 10.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Ashlee’s Ring 12.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Moonbright 4.00 7 13-1
13 13 Krypto Gains 12.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Hot Omelet 6.00 8 15-1
6 6 Lillz Hope 20.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Mountain Sound 8.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 War’s End Kiss 20.00 11.6 22-1
9 9 Bridge to Nowhere 10.00 11.9 23-1
12 12 Its a Birdie 20.00 13 25-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.