Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rob the Bank | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Six Fortyfive | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nano Man | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bali Amour | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Prankster | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | V Lo | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Az U Chase Me | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | In a Minute | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Allied Attack | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elysian Meadows | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Chase | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quick to Accuse | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Engineer Empire | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kid Billy | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Leo and Royal | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Supreme Being | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boys Code | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dot’s Dollar | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Chateau | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charging Aero | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Phil | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Pogi | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Cajun Casanova | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kenny Had a Notion | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Horn of Plenty | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Mi Tres Por Ciento (CHI) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Notebook S.) – Notebook S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Works for Me | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aggelos the Great | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Detective Tom | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wine Responsibly | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bonne Chance | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Always a Warrior | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perliano | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ice the Kicker | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Taporical | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Hill Prince S.) – Hill Prince S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Integration | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Integration | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Freedom Trail | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Integration | 1.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I’m Very Busy | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Toofareastiswest | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Classic Catch | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Faraday | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quality Chic | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Equitize (GB) | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Laurel Valley | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Crupi | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Barrage | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cyber Ninja | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Harry Hood | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | So High (GB) | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Omni King | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hold the Salsa | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Danzigwiththestars | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Register | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carpe’s Dream | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Creation | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kingfish Stevens | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Front Man | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Bold Victory | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Quality G | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Leading Contender | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Macallan | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Key Cents S.) – Key Cents S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tricky Temper | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Soloshot | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cara’s Time | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Shea D Lady | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tricky Temper | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unicorn Cake | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alley’s Song | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ashburn Alley | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Brown Suga Babe | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Before You Go Go | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Waskesiu | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Eight Ball | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Past Tense | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spendalot | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Dean | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Classic Cara | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Scandalous | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Celtic Elegance | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Save Us Melania | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Spinning Class | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Theforcebewithyou | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Martingale | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Wynning Touch | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | By the Glass | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Positive Carry (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Aqueduct Turf Sprint Championship S.) – Aqueduct Turf Sprint Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Our Shot | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dancing Buck | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Thin White Duke | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Run Curtis Run | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nothing Better | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alogon | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fore Harp | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vacation Dance | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Witty | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boat’s a Rockin | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grateful Bred | 50.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bring Me a Check | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Sheriff Bianco | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sosua Summer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Durante | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wit | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | She’s Awesome | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Meraviglioso | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spun Special | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shaman Princess | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Icy Reply | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boss Lady Kim | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Proud Foot | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Girl Jal | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Principessa | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Will Be Famous | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Try It Again | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Leadership Ability | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.