Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 18, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Rob the Bank 8.00 1 2-1
9 9 Six Fortyfive 6.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Nano Man 5.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Bali Amour 30.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Big Prankster 2.50 6.6 12-1
7 7 V Lo 6.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Az U Chase Me 8.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 In a Minute 10.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Allied Attack 10.00 9.4 18-1
4 4 Elysian Meadows 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bourbon Chase 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Quick to Accuse 2.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Engineer Empire 2.50 5.4 10-1
4 4 Kid Billy 3.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Leo and Royal 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Supreme Being 15.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Boys Code 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dot’s Dollar 2.00 1 2-1
7 8 Chateau 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Charging Aero 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Mr Phil 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 7 Pogi 5.00 4.7 9-1
1A 6 Cajun Casanova 5.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 Kenny Had a Notion 15.00 SCRATCH
1 2 Horn of Plenty 5.00 SCRATCH
8 9 Mi Tres Por Ciento (CHI) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Notebook S.) – Notebook S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Works for Me 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Aggelos the Great 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Detective Tom 10.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Wine Responsibly 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Bonne Chance 6.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Always a Warrior 12.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Perliano 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Ice the Kicker 12.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Taporical 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Hill Prince S.) – Hill Prince S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Integration 0 0-1
Integration 0 0-1
1 1 Freedom Trail 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Integration 1.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 I’m Very Busy 6.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Toofareastiswest 20.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Classic Catch 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Faraday 10.00 3 6-1
7 7 Quality Chic 15.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Equitize (GB) 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Laurel Valley 30.00 5 10-1
10 10 Crupi 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Barrage 3.50 1 2-1
11 11 Cyber Ninja 4.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Harry Hood 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 So High (GB) 5.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Omni King 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Hold the Salsa 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Danzigwiththestars 4.50 5.5 10-1
8 8 Register 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Carpe’s Dream 15.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Classic Creation 15.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Kingfish Stevens 20.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Front Man 20.00 9.6 18-1
16 16 Bold Victory 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Quality G 5.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Leading Contender 1.80 SCRATCH
14 14 Macallan 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Key Cents S.) – Key Cents S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Tricky Temper 0 0-1
6 6 Soloshot 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Cara’s Time 2.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 My Shea D Lady 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Tricky Temper 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Unicorn Cake 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Alley’s Song 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Ashburn Alley 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Brown Suga Babe 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Before You Go Go 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Waskesiu 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Magic Eight Ball 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Past Tense 8.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Spendalot 3.50 7.3 14-1
2 2 Dancing Dean 15.00 7.4 14-1
13 13 Classic Cara 30.00 7.6 14-1
11 11 Scandalous 12.00 9 17-1
3 3 Celtic Elegance 15.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Save Us Melania 15.00 10.2 19-1
12 12 Spinning Class 15.00 10.3 19-1
10 10 Theforcebewithyou 20.00 10.5 20-1
14 14 Martingale 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Wynning Touch 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 By the Glass 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Positive Carry (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Aqueduct Turf Sprint Championship S.) – Aqueduct Turf Sprint Championship S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Our Shot 2.50 1 2-1
12 12 Dancing Buck 10.00 2.7 5-1
11 11 Thin White Duke 5.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Run Curtis Run 20.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Nothing Better 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Alogon 6.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Fore Harp 20.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Vacation Dance 30.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Witty 10.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Boat’s a Rockin 20.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Grateful Bred 50.00 10.1 19-1
13 13 Bring Me a Check 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Sheriff Bianco 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Sosua Summer 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Durante 1.80 SCRATCH
1 1 Wit 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 She’s Awesome 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Meraviglioso 15.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Spun Special 10.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Shaman Princess 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Icy Reply 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Boss Lady Kim 10.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Proud Foot 10.00 2.7 5-1
11 11 My Girl Jal 15.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Bella Principessa 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Will Be Famous 20.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 Try It Again 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Leadership Ability 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.