Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 18, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Princess Midnight 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Adelie (IRE) 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Inventing Anna 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Monique 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Viewers Discretion 4.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Storming Gray 20.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Happyasaclam (IRE) 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Desi Arnaz S.) – Desi Arnaz S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tambo 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Nothing Like You 2.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Royal Slipper 0.80 3.7 7-1
3 3 Don’t Bring Crazy 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Halone 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Vegas Burner 0 0-1
6 6 Neon Lights (IRE) 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Vegas Burner 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Anniversaire d’Or 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Johnny Drama 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Classical 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Petcoff 4.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Mobe Town 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
She’s My Niece 0 0-1
3 3 Asian Matriarch 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 She’s My Niece 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Super Enticing 1.20 1.8 3-1
1 1 Bossy Bruin Gal 4.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 High Flying Gracie 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 For A Laugh (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Kid Azteca 2.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Low Expectations 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Marks Hip 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Tom and Jazzy 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Syntactic 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stay On the Fence 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Stolen Treasure 5.00 1.9 3-1
8 8 Jarama 1.60 3.9 7-1
4 4 J Dutton 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Thirsty Thursday 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Bear Coast 12.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Billy Joe Shaver 12.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Whiskey Rye 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Geezer 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Barely Funtional 6.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Gypsy Tears 5.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Double Jab 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Book Smart 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Rachel’s Coach 12.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Meesh 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Cribbage Board 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Gold Council 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Cary Grant S.) – Cary Grant S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Big City Lights 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Principe Carlo 15.00 1.5 3-1
7 6 The Chosen Vron 0.80 1.8 3-1
8 7 Moose Mitchell 12.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 None Above the Law 6.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Desmond Doss 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Lovesick Blues 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Trip to Spain 20.00 SCRATCH
5 98 Fast Draw Munnings 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hot Box 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Give Me the Lute 2.50 1.1 2-1
10 9 Maven 8.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Lansdowne (GB) 12.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Stormy Samurai 15.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Perfectionistic 5.00 4.1 8-1
11 10 Code Charlie 10.00 5 9-1
5 5 Kimmer 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Tom Bombadil 10.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Silardi 4.00 SCRATCH
9 98 Westward Look 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.