Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 18, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rap Artist 20.00 1 2-1
6 6 Traffic Control 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Ferocity 4.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Fireinthestorm 10.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Chicago Chrome 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Wesleyan 6.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Bayou Beaux 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Loveu and Proudofu 5.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Risktaker 8.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Double Trap 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 My My Limit 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Mr. Cromwell 4.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Friend’s Do Care 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Catinandscatin 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Gone Solution 10.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Mr. Butch Womble 4.50 5.9 11-1
5 5 Saberman 15.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Toocan Dance 6.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Carlos’s Mama 20.00 9.7 18-1
12 12 Muletrain 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Proudtown 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Ourperfectprince 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Real Deal Ryan 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ready for Thunder 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Marion Roses Girl 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Bayou Bertie 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Hart’s Pretty Girl 3.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Maximum Moxie 6.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Sheza Hot Storm 15.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Discreet Deal 20.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Spoonful of Sugar 15.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Deal Pickle 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Unfathomed 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Holiday Hustle 4.50 1.7 3-1
10 10 War Ron 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Smoky Topaz 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Herzen 4.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Big Money Machine 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Big Rojo 6.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Fast Verdict 20.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Quana Dude 15.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Temprano 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gunpowder n’ Lead 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Clearing Customs 10.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Dynamic Sun 4.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 I Nita Warrior 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Howard’s Grit 2.50 2.8 5-1
10 10 Yes Jack 5.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 El Keczal 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Frenetic Day 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Dadsamumbler 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Fruit Cup 15.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Prince Is My Boy 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Donegal Factor 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Lo Lo’s Laughter 6.00 1.8 3-1
12 12 Cajun Ami 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Kid Shelleen 3.00 3 6-1
7 7 Briartown 4.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Liberty’s Hauler 6.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Double On the Red 10.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Alligator Crawl 10.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Cocal 12.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Optimal Trip 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Flying Houdini 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Josan 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Codetowin 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Gentleman’s Secret 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Izzy’s Baby Boy 3.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Carbon Stryker 12.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Duke of Blue Ridge 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Liken It 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Jazzy Justin 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Golden Quality 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 World War 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Alliaceous 1.80 1.4 3-1
5 5 Follow the Saint 5.00 4 7-1
1 1 She’s Gone d’Wild 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Catcake 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 A Wish for Madelyn 4.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Girl Thirsty 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Pintora 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Bodi Odi 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Our Hallie 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Dee’s Lil Fool 4.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Apriority Catch 6.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Sparkle City 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Majestic Cinema 20.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Kostroma’s Dancer 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Spooky Guitar 15.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Ad Libitum 20.00 8.4 16-1
12 12 Beat the Double 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Ilimitada 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.