Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bold Courage | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Farm Dog | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Race Day Rebal | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kowboykabin | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bluegrass Breeze | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Disco Danzing | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Major Contender | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blake From Tish | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kiss Principal | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | True Dominus | 6.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jim and Jim | 3.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Devious Dennis | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Judge McBee | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Norway Beach | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | War Hawk | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | He’s All Ears | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gospel Native | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wrinkle Road | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hay Scooby Doo | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caleb Cat | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Precious Cargo | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Golden Gopher | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whats Up Sweets | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mazi | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cato’s Lady | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Minnesota Nice | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rose of Ekita | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Staythirstymyamigo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fat and Furious | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Sunset | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Laridae | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Devil | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Briggsey | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Crenshaw | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gospel Truth | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ears to Me | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gospel Buzz | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Camaraderie | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Triple L’s Cutter | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gimme Candy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Do You Bileve | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sea Level | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Con Suerte | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Withherbootson | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mega Bond | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hunter Quick | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pop’s Biscuit | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | J B’s Legacy | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ronald Dale | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hoodoo Brown | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ezmosh | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cry If I Want To | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | In a Mineshaft | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baileys Shot | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Presence | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Lady | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Lips Houlihan | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lil’s Mark | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | De De’s Bird | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Thelma Jean | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Motown Music | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Words of Wisdom | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Varsity | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paid in Full | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runhappy d’Oro | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pando | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Red Dirt Rich | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Den’s Dynasty | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mega Shack | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Riden the Legend | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Code Jorgie | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | In Bond We Trust | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Travis | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cowboy Brody | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.