Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 18, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pennyjet 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Camarosa 3.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Six for a Nine 10.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Destiny Ro 2.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Secord 3.50 4.9 9-1
2 2 Good Bye New York 20.00 7 13-1
5 5 Texensis 8.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Inittowinit 12.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Silent Patsy 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Stylish Gent 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Taradar 20.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Synchromesh 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Beyond Borders 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Upstart Gentleman 2.50 3 6-1
9 9 A I Initiative 5.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Diamondback 15.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Bocelli 20.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Unilateral 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Malibu Secret 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Kid Forester 5.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Dot’s Vision 12.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Grand Alliance 15.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Tricky Magician 15.00 4 8-1
2 2 Maximus Momentus 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Wenjack 20.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 No Whammie 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Ghoul (BRZ) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ghostly Perfection 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 April de Velp 6.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Cherry Gardens 3.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Miss Waterloo 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Haslemere 12.00 3 6-1
3 3 I’m Snow Angel 8.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 War Vow 20.00 4 8-1
4 4 Centenary 20.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Mason’s Music 3.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Work It Baby 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bachelor Pad 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Blue Max 6.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Tempo Madness 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Call My Banker 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Lapochka 2.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Lenny K 20.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 H C Holiday 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 Chairman Bob 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Ready Hero 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Braquet 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Stolen Valour 10.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Logistics 3.50 2.6 5-1
9 9 Catch the Drift 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 McKenzie Road 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Peggy 15.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Go Giffen 20.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Vrana (IRE) 8.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Flashinthesky 3.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Save the Bees 20.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Vine Grove 12.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Tempereya 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Blazing Sky 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Bayou Belle 20.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Sense You Left 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Ami’s Link 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Erasmo’s Girl 2.50 7.1 13-1
3 3 Little Fire 20.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Liplock 10.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Endorphin Rush 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Secret Reserve 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Souper Watson 20.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Old Chestnut 10.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Like the King 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Frosted Over 3.50 3.4 7-1
1 1 Mason’s Gamble 3.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Weyburn 6.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Clear Destination 10.00 9.1 17-1
4 4 Journeyman 20.00 9.3 18-1
7 7 Border Town 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Kennedy Road S.) – Kennedy Road S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Patches O’Houlihan 1.60 1 2-1
10 10 Ice Chocolat (BRZ) 3.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Rockcrest 12.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Maclean’s Posse 15.00 3 6-1
8 8 Ironstone 15.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Dream Shake 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Jazz Hands 20.00 4 8-1
2 2 Flag Of Honour (AUS) 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Sky’s Not Falling 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 War Bomber (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Blueberry Fields 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lady Moonshine 3.00 1.1 2-1
10 10 Wickenheiser 6.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Liam’s Gift 8.00 2 4-1
5 5 Fish Mooney 15.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Jumpin Junie 20.00 3 6-1
8 8 She Makes a Point 8.00 4.4 8-1
13 13 Royal Blush 12.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Buttered Toast 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Hits Different 15.00 6.9 13-1
12 12 Boudica 20.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 My Girl Sky 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Anita Margarita 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.