Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 19, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Shop Lifting 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Value Area 2.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Leslie’s Rose 4.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Woven Red 4.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Orozimba 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Kingdom Come 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Foxy Cara 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Krystalheir 10.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Eastern Star 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Run Chata 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Scoring Chance 2.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Monetary Monarch 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Hidden War Dance 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bendoog 0.80 1 2-1
5 5 Daddy Knows 4.50 2 4-1
2 2 Aggregation 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Fromanothamutha 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Just Call Ray 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Bold Victory 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Slapintheface 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Ky Thirty Won 6.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Tony O 20.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Bettrluckythangood 3.50 2.3 4-1
10 10 Kid Kreesa 20.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Dolly’s Bank 20.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Domination 3.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Charming Jim 12.00 5 9-1
8 8 Mugsy Fury 30.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 A Lister 50.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Impulsive Spending 50.00 8.2 16-1
3 3 He’s a Lucky Guy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Central Park S.) – Central Park S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Uncle Truly 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Spirit Prince 3.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Typhoon Fury 10.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Wine Collector 30.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Ruddy Buddy 30.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Frontline Warrior 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Quokka 15.00 3.5 7-1
12 12 Blue Creek 20.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Buffoon (FR) 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Walley World 6.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Sanderson 20.00 7.9 15-1
13 13 Day Away 50.00 11.5 22-1
6 6 Works for Me 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Pandagate 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 High Track 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Brooklyn Dantz 4.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Dactilografa 12.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 P Mutter Pickle 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Superstarsusan 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Mel’s Baby Sister 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Snarky 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Steal the Rhythm 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Forever Together S.) – Forever Together S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Faith in Humanity (FR) 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Regal Realm 1.80 2.2 4-1
3 3 Uncorked (AUS) 20.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Chili Flag (FR) 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Cigamia 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Willakia 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Tass 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Malavath (IRE) 6.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Movie Moxy 1.40 SCRATCH
10 10 Hot Fudge 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Willful Desire 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 U Should B Dancing 5.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Try It Again 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Bern Rosey Bern 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Cupids Girl 4.50 5.4 10-1
6 6 Wartapped 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Roja Ligera 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Bunty Windermere 10.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 High School Crush 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dream Road 20.00 1 2-1
7 7 Can’t Fool Me 3.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Spooky Lady 8.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Saratoga Kisses 20.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Linarite 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Disruption 8.00 2.8 5-1
12 12 Sail With the Wind 6.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Supers Lucky Lady 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Lady of Thoroton 8.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Frosty Invasion 15.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Charisse 20.00 11.4 21-1
9 9 Mary Katherine 20.00 12.6 24-1
14 14 Stella Mars 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Bernt Again 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Lavon 10.00 SCRATCH
1A 16 Kara Para 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.