Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Shop Lifting |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Value Area |
2.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Leslie’s Rose |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Woven Red |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Orozimba |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kingdom Come |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Foxy Cara |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Krystalheir |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Eastern Star |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Run Chata |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Scoring Chance |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Monetary Monarch |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hidden War Dance |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Bendoog |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Daddy Knows |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Aggregation |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fromanothamutha |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Just Call Ray |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bold Victory |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Slapintheface |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ky Thirty Won |
6.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tony O |
20.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bettrluckythangood |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Kid Kreesa |
20.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dolly’s Bank |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Domination |
3.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Charming Jim |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mugsy Fury |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
A Lister |
50.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Impulsive Spending |
50.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
He’s a Lucky Guy |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Central Park S.) – Central Park S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Uncle Truly |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Spirit Prince |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Typhoon Fury |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wine Collector |
30.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ruddy Buddy |
30.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Frontline Warrior |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Quokka |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
Blue Creek |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Buffoon (FR) |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Walley World |
6.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sanderson |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
13 |
13 |
Day Away |
50.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
6 |
6 |
Works for Me |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Pandagate |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
High Track |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Brooklyn Dantz |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dactilografa |
12.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
P Mutter Pickle |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Superstarsusan |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mel’s Baby Sister |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Snarky |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Steal the Rhythm |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Forever Together S.) – Forever Together S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Faith in Humanity (FR) |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Regal Realm |
1.80 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Uncorked (AUS) |
20.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chili Flag (FR) |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cigamia |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Willakia |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tass |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Malavath (IRE) |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Movie Moxy |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Hot Fudge |
1.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Willful Desire |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
U Should B Dancing |
5.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Try It Again |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bern Rosey Bern |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cupids Girl |
4.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wartapped |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Roja Ligera |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bunty Windermere |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
High School Crush |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Dream Road |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Can’t Fool Me |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spooky Lady |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Saratoga Kisses |
20.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Linarite |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Disruption |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
12 |
12 |
Sail With the Wind |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Supers Lucky Lady |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lady of Thoroton |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Frosty Invasion |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Charisse |
20.00 |
11.4 |
21-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mary Katherine |
20.00 |
12.6 |
24-1 |
14 |
14 |
Stella Mars |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Bernt Again |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Lavon |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
16 |
Kara Para |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.