Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sydney Street (GB) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flavius | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hurricane Cloud (GB) | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Plus | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Departure | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Overdue | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brazenly | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dominant Soul | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Signofthecross | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warrens Candy Man | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tembo | 1.40 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sol Del Sur | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Papale | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Americaredwhiteblu | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Coupe | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lemon Sushi | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Hat Willie | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beef Winslow | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rodrigoknows | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Birth of Cool | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Matanzas Creek | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Devilish Desire | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yangarra | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Judge Miller | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Brother | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Feisty Mitole | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spirit Rules | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Not A Sinner (GB) | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Impec (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ashley | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scarlet Avenue | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alluring | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lahar Blockade | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | In Your Life | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Pearls Please | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Medoro | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Capo Sorella | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | We’ll Do It Live | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hot Danzing | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cocktail Cutie | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lookatherglide | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lovme Likeafool | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mumbles Brockman | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Signora Vittoria | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Envisioned | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Girlcanthelpit | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jazzy Empress | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Derecho Dandy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Key Is Unity | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thirty Four Coupe | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Worse Read Sanchez | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Workday | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Numero Dix (GB) | 3.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brother Reid | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Centre Circle | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Papa Tiger | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Union | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bob Hope S.) – Bob Hope S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stronghold | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mission Beach | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nysos | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tejon Pass | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wine Me Up | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ghostly Act | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Touchdown Kittle | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maxville | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Antibes | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dark Marcus | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Toppers Wager | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sea Breeze Boy | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Tripping | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aviator Nation | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Fuss | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hill Sixteen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.