Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 19, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sydney Street (GB) 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Flavius 4.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Hurricane Cloud (GB) 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Tiz Plus 3.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Departure 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Overdue 5.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Brazenly 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Dominant Soul 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Signofthecross 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Warrens Candy Man 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Tembo 1.40 4 8-1
2 2 Sol Del Sur 2.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 Papale 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Americaredwhiteblu 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Big Coupe 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Lemon Sushi 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Big Hat Willie 3.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Beef Winslow 3.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Rodrigoknows 15.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Birth of Cool 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Matanzas Creek 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Devilish Desire 2.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Yangarra 2.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Judge Miller 2.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Hey Brother 5.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Feisty Mitole 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Spirit Rules 12.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Not A Sinner (GB) 3.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Impec (IRE) 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Ashley 4.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Scarlet Avenue 8.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Alluring 5.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Lahar Blockade 15.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 In Your Life 6.00 8.7 16-1
10 10 Mo Pearls Please 20.00 8.8 17-1
13 13 Medoro 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Capo Sorella 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 We’ll Do It Live 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hot Danzing 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Cocktail Cutie 3.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Lookatherglide 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Lovme Likeafool 20.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Mumbles Brockman 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Signora Vittoria 15.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Envisioned 3.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Girlcanthelpit 6.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Jazzy Empress 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Derecho Dandy 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 The Key Is Unity 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Thirty Four Coupe 4.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Worse Read Sanchez 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Workday 10.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Numero Dix (GB) 3.50 6.6 13-1
6 6 Brother Reid 10.00 8 15-1
8 8 Centre Circle 20.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Papa Tiger 30.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Noble Union 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Bob Hope S.) – Bob Hope S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Stronghold 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mission Beach 6.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Nysos 0.80 1.8 3-1
1 1 Tejon Pass 5.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Wine Me Up 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ghostly Act 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Touchdown Kittle 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Maxville 12.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Antibes 4.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Dark Marcus 3.00 3 6-1
11 11 Toppers Wager 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Sea Breeze Boy 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Lord Tripping 20.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Aviator Nation 20.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 The Fuss 12.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Hill Sixteen 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.