Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Classic Ballad | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Betty | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sonadora Girl | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sadie the Goat | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bonmati | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Northern Road | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wow Lucky | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Enticing Sunset | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ashima | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Summer Flower | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Flying Black | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She Fled the Scene | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beach Ready | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Panotti | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dubstep | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Enough | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Rusia | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mama Bella | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fiona’s Magic | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Panther Crossing | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | U Lite Up My Life | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Derby Hangover | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kissing Rock | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Far and Few | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tinki Abarrio | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Practical Vale | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Talk | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | A. P.’s Secret | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Positive Review | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Willy Boi | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cattin | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hurricane J | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Doc Amster | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Real Talk | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Time Is Magic | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Blitz | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vive Veuve | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Shinka | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tape Runner | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wonder Wave (IRE) | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lets Go Koko | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Who Lady Who | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Youknownothing | 5.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Free Charging | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Haley’s Happy Girl | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Little Miss Munny | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tinta Roja | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Majestic Venezuela | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Fluid | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ernestina | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Go Billy Go | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Toby | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hancock | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Divo d’Oro | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Orb Alpha | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rye’s My Guy | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mayheminthepalace | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Real Sensation | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hey River | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Betta Go Go Go | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flying Liam | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hazon | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Answer | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mighty Miracle | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ajaayb | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Dream | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bedtime Story | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Athena’s Wisdom | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fulminate | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Band Luzziann | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sonicus | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trevess | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lovin Makes Cents | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Defended | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Flag Woman | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Talkin Tipsy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fawning | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dreaming of Snow | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Choose Joy | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oh Darlin | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glitter Up | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Qualy | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Starship Nala | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hercules | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gran Runner | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Another Duke | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Verrazanointhesky | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rhymes Like Dimes | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Toscanito | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Piypa de Lynda | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cupid’s Dude | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Super Curioso (ARG) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.