Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 19, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Waittilmidnitehour 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Mollie Tapper 5.00 1.5 3-1
12 12 Lady Mosler 8.00 1.9 3-1
9 9 Lady Ensign 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Letitgotovoicemail 12.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Little Josie Wales 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Flimsy 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Yooou Know 3.50 6.5 12-1
10 10 Tritone Gal 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Latest Edition 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Abstract Moment 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Call Me Vivian 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Fashionista 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Kilbrittain’s Red 50.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Domo Arigatou 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Sky Buy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mister Winston 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Zipper Zapper 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Brasstown 2.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Bahama Channel 4.00 6 11-1
9 9 Forloveofcountry 30.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Antipoison 30.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Northern Thunder 20.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Miracle Silver 5.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Tiny Tin 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Mosey 0 0-1
5 5 Swing Sammy 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Heart of Fire 10.00 1.1 2-1
10 10 Elusive Image 10.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 I Wanna Rock 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Lunar Dash 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 He Did It 1.60 3.5 7-1
1 1 Last of Bad Boys 50.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Sonic Bloom 30.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Mosey 15.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Meno 30.00 8.2 16-1
11 11 Fun Coast 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 High Stakes 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Cripple Creek 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Maryland Moon 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Photo Copy 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 World Factor 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Paradise Pride 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Ace Nine Nine 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Hanalei’s Houdini 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Up Against It 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Galatians 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Goodluckchuck 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Never Change 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Velvet Ghost 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Invest Wisely 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Reconsider Me (IRE) 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Princess Cairo 15.00 4 8-1
10 10 Run Around Slew 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Unfolding Beauty 12.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Waridi Candy 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 La Fantasma 20.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Last Glimmer 6.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Queen Rocket 30.00 8.6 16-1
14 14 Sultry Sky 30.00 12.2 23-1
12 12 Catch the Kitten 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Intel Agent 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Kake’s Tap Dancer 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Humbling 2.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Heavenly Appointed 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Compass Rises 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 His Name Is Sue 15.00 1 2-1
11 11 Boss Is a Pal 2.50 1.3 2-1
10 10 Prince Pere 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Charmed (GB) 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 On the Engine 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Aesthetically 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Zip Line to Heaven 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Valiant Vinny 3.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Flashinthenight 30.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Pressing Concern 30.00 5.8 11-1
14 14 Bourbon Currency 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Indefatigable 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Our Strong Vows 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Our Hoisted Mast 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 E. P. Milton 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Crazy Odds 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nasty Habit 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Won an Award 4.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Time the Avenger 5.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Infinite Series 15.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Catching Stars 12.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Here’s Liam 30.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Respirator 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Twirling Express 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Tap Your Heart 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Downtown Katie 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Gold Digging Broad 10.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Tracy Flick 0.80 3 6-1
13 13 Circle Home 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Haint Blue (FR) 12.00 5.3 10-1
15 15 Awesome Jazz 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Vanilla Bean 20.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Lullaby Land 4.50 6.5 12-1
14 14 Cut From Class 12.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Fine Whining 30.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Patty Cakes 2.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Wings of a Song 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Cha Cha Tap 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Northern Glow 2.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Apple Shake Shake 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Kobe’s Smile 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Abby’s Lucky Girl 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Marley’s Ghost 15.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Opinionated 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 American Odalisque 4.50 4.3 8-1
8 8 Voodoo Priestess 4.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Power and Glory 3.50 5.5 10-1
3 3 Divine Spirit 30.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Super Money 30.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Time Goes Fast 30.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.