Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 19, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mo Tourist 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Infamous Covert 6.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Gendragon 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Giant One 2.00 4 7-1
2 2 October Frost 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Jmr Pure Sensation 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Rockland Express 3.50 7.1 13-1
7 7 Thunderheavyrain 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kiddie Holiday 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Native Prince 10.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Derzkii 2.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Steak and Cheese 3.00 4 8-1
8 8 Solar 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Bet 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Coleyville 4.50 5.7 11-1
6 6 Sunspear 20.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Hullabaloo 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Myra’s Boy 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Fairway to Heaven 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Swift Delivery 2.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Beyond Adversity 20.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Pet Sounds 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Roscar 10.00 3 6-1
6 6 One Last Kiss 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Mr Narcissistic 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Heat Merchant 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Silent Fortune 12.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Jimmies Big Day 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Souper Sunshine 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Adelaide Court 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Dissectologist 12.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Classic Dancer 10.00 7.7 14-1
8 8 Lobby Bar 12.00 9.1 17-1
4 4 Diamond Heist 20.00 10.6 20-1
9 9 Silent Tribute 4.50 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Awesome Entry 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Buck’s Fizz 3.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Motion Granted 10.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Country Living 3.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 American Decision 2.50 5.3 10-1
3 3 Smart Almasty 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Gold Bonanza 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Ryo Amazing 15.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Speedy Bulleit 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hall of Dreams 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Stowaway 10.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Loose Wire 2.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Fanore (IRE) 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Pat’ssewingmachine 20.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Exude 8.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Guns n’ Rojas 10.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Hank Ollie 8.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Anita Margarita 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tidal Forces 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Stolen Money 6.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Grandson 15.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Winston Blue 12.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Concealed Carry 4.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Twowaycrossing 3.00 4 8-1
8 8 Red Line Overdrive 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Proven Strategies 15.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Nikki Noots 12.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Rapper Zapper 8.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Flawless Ruler 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kerouac 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Cruden Bay 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Dancin in Da’nile 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 J P Hellish 3.50 3.6 7-1
9 9 Palio 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Hunt Master 4.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Lac Macaza 10.00 7 13-1
2 2 Taranto Titan 15.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Twin City 20.00 9.5 18-1
6 6 Ron’s Gizmo 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Painted Glory 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Junipero Serra 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 This Dude a Breeze 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Legal Catch 6.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Giovannino 3.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 War in Charge 20.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Wicked Django 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Big Shooter 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Its Just Money 15.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Good News Money 20.00 10.4 20-1
9 9 Dare to Be King 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Jaggersgotagun 20.00 1 2-1
5 5 The Thunderer 4.00 2.8 5-1
12 12 Midnight Tempesta 10.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Mr Nobility 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Reason to Dream 8.00 3.7 7-1
13 13 Clive Cross 30.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Fabled Prince 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Whaddya Mean 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Pat’s Gamble 3.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Ask in My Name 12.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Just for Maddie 30.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Beer Mosa 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Romeo Yankee 15.00 10.4 20-1
11 11 Magic Modie 15.00 11.7 22-1
16 16 One True Gentleman 2.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Another Pinky 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.