Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mo Tourist | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Infamous Covert | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gendragon | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Giant One | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | October Frost | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jmr Pure Sensation | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rockland Express | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thunderheavyrain | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kiddie Holiday | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Native Prince | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Derzkii | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Steak and Cheese | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Solar | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bet | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coleyville | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunspear | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hullabaloo | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Myra’s Boy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fairway to Heaven | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swift Delivery | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beyond Adversity | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pet Sounds | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roscar | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Last Kiss | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Mr Narcissistic | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Heat Merchant | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Fortune | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jimmies Big Day | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Sunshine | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Adelaide Court | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dissectologist | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classic Dancer | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lobby Bar | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Heist | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Silent Tribute | 4.50 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Entry | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buck’s Fizz | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Motion Granted | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Country Living | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | American Decision | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smart Almasty | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Bonanza | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ryo Amazing | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speedy Bulleit | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hall of Dreams | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stowaway | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Loose Wire | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fanore (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pat’ssewingmachine | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Exude | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Guns n’ Rojas | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hank Ollie | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Anita Margarita | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tidal Forces | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stolen Money | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grandson | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winston Blue | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Concealed Carry | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Twowaycrossing | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Line Overdrive | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Proven Strategies | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nikki Noots | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rapper Zapper | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Flawless Ruler | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kerouac | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cruden Bay | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancin in Da’nile | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J P Hellish | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Palio | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hunt Master | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lac Macaza | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taranto Titan | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twin City | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ron’s Gizmo | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Painted Glory | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Junipero Serra | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | This Dude a Breeze | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Legal Catch | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Giovannino | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | War in Charge | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Django | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Shooter | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Its Just Money | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good News Money | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dare to Be King | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Jaggersgotagun | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Thunderer | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Midnight Tempesta | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Nobility | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reason to Dream | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Clive Cross | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fabled Prince | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whaddya Mean | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pat’s Gamble | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ask in My Name | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just for Maddie | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beer Mosa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Romeo Yankee | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Magic Modie | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | One True Gentleman | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Another Pinky | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.