Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, November 21, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Reaux Bina 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Surrey 3.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Destiny’s Grace 4.50 3.4 7-1
5 5 Bold Exaggeration 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Adayinspain 2.50 4 8-1
1 1 Irish Molly 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Run Bambi Run 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Leprechaun Charm 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Oochie 3.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Miss Charge It 2.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 Sheza Cat 4.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Angel and Me 8.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Mave Runner 8.00 7 13-1
6 6 Old School Flash 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tarkington Girl 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Hey You 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Gap Daddy 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Long Shot Louise 3.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Honest Deal 10.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Jennysbigbaby 4.50 3.7 7-1
10 10 Whorl Girl 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Scrappy 20.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 St. Francis of La. 12.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Starry Starry Day 20.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Share the Doe 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Tensas Clear 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Magic Glass 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Friendly Aces 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Acela Express 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 California Belle 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Little Z 10.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Black Ace 5.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Sue’s Little Zing 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 High Donna 3.50 6.2 12-1
3 3 Ms. Priestly 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 That You Margaret 20.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Layla’s Song 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Troska 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Marina 4.50 1.8 3-1
9 9 Sho Nuff 10.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Run Away Samari 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Boston Belle 15.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Savannah’s Here 8.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Sweet Stormy Elle 6.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Tenpins Tempest 10.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Don’t Look Ethel 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Respect All 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Doctor Leo 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Venn 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Jack Bob and Larry 10.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Guitar Slim 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Veterans Day 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Touchdown Joe 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Ballinonabudjet 2.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 Monarch’s Mischief 8.00 6 11-1
9 9 Seehoss 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Gracie Diamond 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Ring Twice 3.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Lightning Hart 10.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Cant Attack Arch 15.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Flat Out Rose 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Allotrope 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Firey Emblem 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Frosted Diamond 5.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Atomic Rose 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Ever a Rebel 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 My Crazy Neighbor 6.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Thirsty Pappy 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Mazing Mark 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Summer Lover 6.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 First Class Harlow 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Uxmal 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Optimal Trip 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Taraashoq 20.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Flying Houdini 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Whiskey Red 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Monolith 3.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Midnight Crown 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Nephi 20.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Valley Mischief 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Chamois’ Empire 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 My Uncle Billy 4.50 5.6 11-1
9 9 R T’s Iron Man 6.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Camaleon 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Valid Early 20.00 7.7 15-1
12 12 All Together 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Tapit Twice 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.