Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, November 21, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Standpoint 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Deposition 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Free Bird Bordo 4.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Trailing Monster 4.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Evasive Moves 12.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Amore d’Oro 10.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Marine Patrol 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 On Our Way Boyz 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 King of Chaos 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Mizzen Man 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Bode O 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Almond Cider 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Rex Kwon Do 3.50 6.9 13-1
4 4 Boom Boom Kaboom 8.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Rockin Freebee 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Valdikava 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Miss Cinnamon 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Kate’s Cuban Kiss 4.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Her Ticket to Ride 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Avalanche Is Comin 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Soulful Tara 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Strugar 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Starlite Walker 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Rejected Again 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Mega Charlie 5.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Sensible Jim 4.50 5.6 11-1
3 3 Enforcer 10.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Jebologist 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Baby Sox 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Now Act Surprised 15.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Lucky Flush 10.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Lucky Breeze 20.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Say No More 20.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Wicked Lady 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 St Maarten Girl 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Moonlite in Heaven 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Divine Twist 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 She’s a Lino 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Screen Saver 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Olympic Romp 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Social Group 5.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Wizard Serrat 4.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Marco Island 10.00 3 6-1
1 1 Celtic Treasure 10.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Relishment 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Samaronti 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Saponara 10.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Excursion 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 La Sierva C 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Kindred Hearts 4.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Bossy Kate 12.00 2 4-1
3 3 Noisy On the Bay 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Overmuch 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Zuma 3.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Molly Malone 20.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Sweet Distraction 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Lady Sheboygan 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Liberty Star 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Beyond Best 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Catch the Smoke 4.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Caughtandcollected 2.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Hey Porter 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Batter Up Bud 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Critical Threat 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shero 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Emirates Affair 2.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Erin’s Enthusiasm 4.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Dream Chaser 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Cocoa’s Vivian 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Confirmed Genius 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Coach Has Six Aces 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ayeartoremember 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Filly Phanatic 3.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Overthebluesky 15.00 3 6-1
5 5 Orb’s Party Girl 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Only Girl 20.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Map of Life 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Secret Temptation 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Kissit 10.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 No Sugar Please 20.00 8 15-1
10 10 Jersey Coast 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.