Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, November 22, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Reginald Aurelius 0 0-1
7 7 Tha Illest Deal 12.00 1 2-1
10 10 Checkulater 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Kit Kat Kidd 10.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Stray Cat Strut 5.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Razz 6.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Flash Freddie 10.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 St Joe 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Reginald Aurelius 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Knight of Honor 3.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Petey 15.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Dial Uncle Joey 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Plum Wine 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Tiffany’s Ferrari 1.80 2.6 5-1
4 4 Coal Dancer 3.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Steel Guitar 4.50 5.7 11-1
2 2 C C Llam 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Cozy Courtney 8.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Bellamysawesomeday 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Chipeee 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Country Cat Jake 3.50 1.2 2-1
9 9 I’m a Night Train 6.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Fishin With Pete 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Truvy’s Bandit 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Hopeshecanrun 10.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Flash of Rain 12.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Bellamy Brother 12.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Little Warrior 20.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Boss Man Zong 20.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Dee’s Legs 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Half Crazy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Awesome Cajun 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 God’s Gold 2.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Hullinahurry 6.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 El Jefe Cobb 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Directional 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Muletrain 20.00 5 9-1
3 3 Soulology 6.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Angola Vacation 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Deputy Knight 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Little Jony 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Barranca 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Cajun Aces 10.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Midnight Trip 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Us Second Cute Pie 12.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Beyond the Hype 20.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Mschitchattour 2.50 4.9 9-1
4 4 Glory to Me 5.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Sense of Flurry 3.50 5.8 11-1
2 2 Kellys the Boss 10.00 6 11-1
9 9 Lovin Livin 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Captains Cove 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Plenty of Cents 6.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Napoleonic Code 2.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 F J’s Flaco 10.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Moro Flyboy 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Out Making Treble 12.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Roll On Out 15.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Gtuone Buck 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Hail the Cat 20.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Jesuit 20.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Bud Won 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Straighten Up 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Yo Dawg 8.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Lulos 15.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Halo Moon 15.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Runtoday 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Fahan 10.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Violent City 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Lord Brancusi 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Motawaafeq 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Forgotten Fortune 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Czar’s Ballerina 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Lacie Be Good 2.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Rain 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Western Dream 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Miss Lonelyhearts 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Roses Are Gray 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Paintbrush 20.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Puglia 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Roll Gypsy Roll 12.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Eli’s Girl 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hurts So Bad 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Getcha 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Tensas All Ours 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Coolcross 3.50 2.4 4-1
9 9 Texas Titan 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Tappin Fora Dance 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Graham ‘s Cruiser 15.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Joeboy 20.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Mean Cruiser 20.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Tapalist 20.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Applewood 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Birthday Party 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.