Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 23, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Eight Clap 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 E J Won the Cup 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Sketchy 12.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Practically Broke 4.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Ned 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Daddy Justify 3.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Sharp Lorenzo 12.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Money Makes Money 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cornelia Fort 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Big Novel 1.80 3.1 6-1
5 5 Tizzy Twister 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 I Had That One Too 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Sweet Hello 5.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 House of Magic 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Aventapp 3.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Nokie 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Jordan 15.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 One Smokin Moon 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 American Heights 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Mor Tequila 0 0-1
3 3 Zoffarelli (IRE) 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Helladic 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Lovesick Blues 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Standing O 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Mor Tequila 4.00 6 11-1
5 5 Don’t Swear Dave 6.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Mas Rapido (GB) 5.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Radical Right 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Eltonsingsanother 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Stay in Line 6.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Just Is 5.00 4 8-1
8 8 Betsy Is the Code 20.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Hollywood Rumor 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Rosie Ann Rules 2.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Stylish Dress 6.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Bougie Like 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Red Carpet S.) – Red Carpet S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Symphony Perfect (IRE) 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Neige Blanche (FR) 3.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Sister Otoole 3.00 1.9 3-1
3 3 Musical Rhapsody (IRE) 8.00 2 4-1
5 5 With Love (GB) 15.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Oakhurst 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Linda’s Gift 5.00 2.9 5-1
7 98 Loved Reiko 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cliquish 2.50 1 2-1
8 7 Liberal Lady 5.00 1.9 3-1
4 4 Hennys Crazy Train 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Professors’ Pride 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Keen Lady 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Gila 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Zeyaraat 5.00 3.9 7-1
7 98 Con Seal and Kerry 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Asada Fries 1.40 1 2-1
3 2 O K Rose 2.50 1.3 3-1
5 4 Beautiful Janet 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 7 Lamporghini 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 1 Big Rainbow 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Lady Monclaire 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Smoove Over 20.00 SCRATCH
1 98 Kitzkaty 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.