Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 23, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Blackteca 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Gypsy’s Soulmate 6.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Courtman 3.50 1.8 3-1
9 9 Field of Vision 4.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Older and Wiser 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Scoring Drive 15.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Main Dude 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Astrologysprotege 12.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Salute Now 5.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Where’d the Day Go 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Vim and Vigor 6.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Turn On the Magic 3.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Big Blue 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Arctic Rose 4.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 One Time Gem 4.50 5.9 11-1
4 4 Keys Included 8.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Rooster Run 12.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Okudah 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 El Deal Me Aces 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Binding Agreement 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Big Boo 20.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Cryptozonic 4.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 G’wildcat 3.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 Alterana 4.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Half Again 10.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Gold Punch 8.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Magawildtime 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Bizzee Channel 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Solid Country Gold 3.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Sniveling 12.00 3 6-1
5 5 Premium 20.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Noble Pursuit 8.00 4 8-1
10 10 Men of Kyle 12.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Haleys Sailor 20.00 5.2 10-1
14 14 My Bariley 10.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Sarge’s Sermon 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Millard’s Smile 12.00 5.8 11-1
16 16 Devamani (FR) 12.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Shady McGee (IRE) 6.00 6.4 12-1
13 13 Kazan (IRE) 5.00 8.1 15-1
15 15 Casanova Kitten 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Gimme Some Mo 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dream Liner (BRZ) 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Next Level 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Funnyflame 8.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Popweiser 5.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Night Out 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Night Mover 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Spoken Code 5.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Bayou Magic 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Clever Joke 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Storm Bay 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 C C Cruise Control 12.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Beautifulnavigator (IRE) 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Hay Stack 3.00 5 9-1
1 1 Paint Me Perfect 10.00 6 11-1
8 8 Sake (FR) 8.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Varmlander 12.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Elle Est Forte 5.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Blown Cover 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Maycocks Bay 3.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Snead 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Awesome Ruta 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Pure Malice 6.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Tipsy Tales 12.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Hawks Creek 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Big Dreaming 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Desert Duke 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Point Proven 15.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Microphone (IRE) 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Drakon 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Protonic Power 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Sailing Solo 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Deccan Prince (IRE) 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Seductive U S A 15.00 6.1 11-1
12 12 Mr. Big News 20.00 8 15-1
13 13 Clear Vision 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Duke of Carthania 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Unified Dreams 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Running Late 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Altazor (ARG) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Thanksgiving Classic S.) – Thanksgiving Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Miles Ahead 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Super Ocho (CHI) 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Chasing Time 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Swift as I Am 20.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Machine Gun Man 10.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Kavod 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Gilcrease 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Cowan 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Minnesota Ready 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Aztec Gem 3.50 1 2-1
11 11 Our Majestic 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Hard Kings 12.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Gray Dane 15.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Angelic Knight 3.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Parker Now 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Le Monstre Rapide 12.00 5 9-1
4 4 He’s a Good Chap 15.00 6.2 12-1
12 12 Renati 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Yockey’s Drivethru 12.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Sassi D 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Beaudean 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.