Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Listen | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Extra Dirty | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dorothy’s Dreams | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Natural Fact | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | By the Glass | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unheard | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | She She’s Shadow | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return the Ring | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Quick Hammer | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Youbetterbejoking | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Plate Special | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red D G P | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Return the Ring | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shortsinthewinter | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fenwick | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Fall Highweight H.) – Fall Highweight H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rotknee | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Durante | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Win for Gold | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Journey | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cowan | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Alfred James | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Otello | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | For Your Pleasure | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fluff the Pillow | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Ambition | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Hero Code | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J D Factor | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gum Island | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Crowding Out | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mariah’s Fortune | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Its Cold in Dehere | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alpine Queen | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trade Secret | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gringotts | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vallarand | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | More Mango | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stonewall Star | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rachel’s Rock | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Centre Court Champ | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Poppy | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shesalittle Edgy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Moonshine | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Self Isolation | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Screaming Uncle | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Iron Man Jimmy | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Growth Mindset | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Citizen Mack | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Venge | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Elusive Drwong | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Braggadocious | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Timo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Burton Way | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Mariachi | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Daufuskie Island | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 8 | Colonel Vargo | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Who Hoo Thats Me | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Full Moon Madness | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Capone | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2B | 11 | Tetsu | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 6 | Twelth Man | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Ocean’s Reserve | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Causes Trouble | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Dark Vector | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Run for Your Honey | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Love Thyself | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bornforgreatness | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alotta Jays | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dame Catherine | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lone Star Wildcat | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Holder Close | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mother Mary | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Let’s Connect | 10.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Laker | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Archivist | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.