Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 24, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Don’t Listen 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Extra Dirty 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Dorothy’s Dreams 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Natural Fact 15.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 By the Glass 2.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Unheard 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 She She’s Shadow 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Return the Ring 0 0-1
7 7 Quick Hammer 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Youbetterbejoking 4.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Blue Plate Special 8.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Red D G P 5.00 4 8-1
5 5 Return the Ring 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Shortsinthewinter 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Fenwick 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Fall Highweight H.) – Fall Highweight H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rotknee 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Durante 1.80 1.9 4-1
5 5 Win for Gold 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Bold Journey 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Cowan 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Sir Alfred James 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Otello 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 For Your Pleasure 1.20 2.1 4-1
7 7 Fluff the Pillow 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Bold Ambition 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 The Hero Code 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 J D Factor 4.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Gum Island 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Crowding Out 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Mariah’s Fortune 2.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Its Cold in Dehere 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Alpine Queen 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Trade Secret 15.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Gringotts 5.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Vallarand 12.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 More Mango 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stonewall Star 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Rachel’s Rock 3.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Centre Court Champ 12.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Royal Poppy 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Shesalittle Edgy 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Malibu Moonshine 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Self Isolation 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Screaming Uncle 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Iron Man Jimmy 8.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Growth Mindset 15.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Citizen Mack 4.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Venge 5.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 The Elusive Drwong 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Braggadocious 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Timo 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Burton Way 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Mariachi 2.50 1 2-1
5 3 Daufuskie Island 10.00 2.5 5-1
2 8 Colonel Vargo 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 5 Who Hoo Thats Me 3.00 3.3 6-1
1A 9 Full Moon Madness 8.00 4 7-1
6 4 Capone 10.00 6.2 12-1
2B 11 Tetsu 8.00 SCRATCH
1 6 Twelth Man 8.00 SCRATCH
4 2 Ocean’s Reserve 5.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Causes Trouble 15.00 SCRATCH
3 1 Dark Vector 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Run for Your Honey 1.40 1 2-1
8 8 Love Thyself 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Bornforgreatness 5.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Alotta Jays 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Dame Catherine 6.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 Lone Star Wildcat 12.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Holder Close 15.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Mother Mary 15.00 9.6 18-1
11 11 Let’s Connect 10.00 9.8 19-1
3 3 She’s a Laker 30.00 10.7 20-1
6 6 Archivist 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.