Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Papiringo | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ninejuanjuan Call | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sparkin | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Inspector Ed | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | K V Target | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Admiral Afleet | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Star Target | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wildcard Gold | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Astrology Wonowon | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minor Discrepancy | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Defiant Malice | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rite On Sam | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Minor Discrepancy | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hello Mr Copeland | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Special Stormy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Itzcoatl | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rumpusinthesky | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Konteekee | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fuhr Meo | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Grey Beauty | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Boston Lucille | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Simple Sunday | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chatain’s Flyer | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mylies Star | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Muchmorethanready | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Non Binding | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bless d’South | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cajun Two Step | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tolatetoowait | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Drive for Fun | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Limonite | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tizhotndusty | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Parlay Pete | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dried Pepper | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red White and Loud | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Motataabeq | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Overdeliver | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Boy Charlie | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucas Zip It | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Manly Deeds | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Boss Soss | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Creekside | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King of Contraband | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jays Holiday | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sonya Knows Better | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | In a Bind | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Native Star | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pitch and Run | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | American Smooth | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Full of Glory | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Street Art | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bulletsrevenge | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Uncle Brad | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bello Creedo | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Raul’s Encanto | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carlos’ Blast | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pitale | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Scrappy Artie | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hostile Afleet | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uptown Social | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Penetrator | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Eli | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sturgill | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Run Away Son | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tiz a Macho Girl | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ima Discreet Lady | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Another Hot Mess | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clay’s Moon Stone | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Una Chiquitita (CHI) | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dashyns Dream | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mosquito Fleet | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Savage | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boyfriend Material | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mias Moonbeam | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Americain Joey | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Louis Le Grande | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nate’s Revenge | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thrill Ride | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cool Individual | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.