Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 24, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Papiringo 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ninejuanjuan Call 2.50 5.1 10-1
8 8 Sparkin 5.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Inspector Ed 6.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 K V Target 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Admiral Afleet 3.50 6.4 12-1
1 1 Little Star Target 15.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Wildcard Gold 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Astrology Wonowon 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Minor Discrepancy 0 0-1
3 3 Defiant Malice 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Rite On Sam 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Minor Discrepancy 2.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Hello Mr Copeland 10.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Special Stormy 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Itzcoatl 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Rumpusinthesky 15.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Konteekee 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Fuhr Meo 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 The Grey Beauty 5.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Boston Lucille 8.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Simple Sunday 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Chatain’s Flyer 20.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Mylies Star 20.00 4 7-1
3 3 Muchmorethanready 3.00 4 8-1
2 2 Non Binding 4.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Bless d’South 10.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Cajun Two Step 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Tolatetoowait 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Drive for Fun 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Limonite 5.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Tizhotndusty 15.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Parlay Pete 12.00 3 6-1
3 3 Dried Pepper 8.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Red White and Loud 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Motataabeq 3.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Overdeliver 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Boy Charlie 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lucas Zip It 4.50 2.3 4-1
10 10 Manly Deeds 12.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 The Boss Soss 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Creekside 2.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 King of Contraband 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Jays Holiday 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Sonya Knows Better 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 In a Bind 20.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Native Star 10.00 7 13-1
11 11 Pitch and Run 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 American Smooth 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Full of Glory 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Street Art 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Bulletsrevenge 15.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Uncle Brad 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Bello Creedo 4.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Raul’s Encanto 20.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Carlos’ Blast 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Pitale 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Scrappy Artie 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Hostile Afleet 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Uptown Social 10.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Penetrator 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Sir Eli 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Sturgill 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Run Away Son 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tiz a Macho Girl 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Ima Discreet Lady 6.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Another Hot Mess 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Clay’s Moon Stone 4.00 2 4-1
6 6 Una Chiquitita (CHI) 3.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Dashyns Dream 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mosquito Fleet 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Savage 8.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Boyfriend Material 15.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Mias Moonbeam 3.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Americain Joey 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Louis Le Grande 6.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Nate’s Revenge 15.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Thrill Ride 6.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Cool Individual 4.50 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.