Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 24, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Nicely Unified 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Calling 2.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Easy Aces 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Strummin Mary 15.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Saint Mary 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Kasens Tribe 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Aspen Link 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Half Hour to Glory 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Zaici 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Time to Meddle 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Classic Runner 6.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Come On Come On 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Chili Red 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Fabled Ruler 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Swift N Traffic 5.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 I Dont Know Either 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Creme de Bali 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Veteran’s Holiday 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Gallant Buck 4.50 4.5 8-1
5 5 Uncle Nick 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Keesawah 5.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Cheatin Charlie 4.50 7.8 15-1
6 6 Heartthrob Halo 3.50 7.9 15-1
8 8 Over Calendared 8.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Preferito Da Barbi 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 God of Wine 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Solomon Vandy 4.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Moesahandful 5.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Benissimo 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Whiskey and Easy 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Foe 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Professor Higgins 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Regimental 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cajun Crazy 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Commander Scott 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Syvestar 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Joey’s Game 4.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Tsuris 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Go Brother Go 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Jimmie’s Halo 10.00 4 8-1
3 3 Snakebit 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Smokin Richie 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Samurai Mike 6.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 The Green Mo’ster 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Onemoretimearound 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Silver Wings 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Sign of War 12.00 4 7-1
11 11 Lyrical Poet 4.50 4 8-1
1 1 Baby Boomer 12.00 5 10-1
10 10 Seven Scents 4.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Saint Charles 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Afleet Ascent 6.00 6 11-1
12 12 Good Heart 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Colonial Rose 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Ba Dee Yah 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Starina 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Thorny 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Union Mist 3.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Fleet Frost 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Britts a Closer 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Real City Speed 3.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Deer Crossing 4.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Hudson’s Turn 12.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Pepper Jack 10.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Charlie G 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Jeb’s Lucky Eight 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Ranch Water 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Coffee County 6.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Mangelsen 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Home Visit 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Sunday Breeze 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cookn Wit Catman 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Gavel 8.00 1.9 4-1
11 11 Googol Joke 12.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Good Lord 12.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Hero Worship 3.50 5.7 11-1
7 7 B Fifty Two 8.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Phantom Speed 4.50 5.9 11-1
1 1 Kingscote 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Fastened 4.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Gianno 12.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Carry the Flag 20.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Royal Mint 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.