Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 25, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kid’s Last Laugh 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Party Is Over 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 It Wasn’t Me 10.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Take Time to Dream 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Addressable Market (IRE) 15.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Put the Crazy Away 5.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Lady Astoria 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Graceful 20.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Frau Diablo 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ice Road 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Blame D Rule Maker 4.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Jeeper 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Disappearance 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Dads Good Runner 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Proven Hope 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Best Coast 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 K D Kakes 2.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Shasi 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Afilada 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Mouly 6.00 3.4 7-1
6 6 Rosemary Potatoes 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Lemon Taffy 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2B 9 Fancy Azteca 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Royal Meghan 2.00 2 4-1
5 6 Hydra 10.00 3 6-1
4 4 Halo City 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 10 I’m Buzzy 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 7 Pretti Xtreme 4.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Carbon 20.00 3.9 7-1
2 5 Good Penny 2.50 6 11-1
7 8 Freddymo Factor 30.00 7.7 15-1
1A 2 Starship Defiant 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 9 Hammerin Aamer 1.80 1 2-1
9 10 Goldini 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Grumps Little Tots 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 My Friends Beer 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Gandy Dancing 12.00 3.3 6-1
1A 7 Flamingo Hawk 4.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Blake B. 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Winning Drive 4.00 6.5 12-1
7 8 Mount Travers 20.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Forever Wicked 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Queens Masterpiece 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Reigning Chick 4.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Big Bean Christine 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Better Humor Me 2.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Queens Over Threes 20.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Stella Mars 6.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Lavon 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Yankee Agate 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Alibi Ike 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Whenlovetakesover 3.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Little Skippy 3.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Borletti (IRE) 5.00 4 8-1
5 5 Grand Again 15.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Pine Alley 12.00 7 13-1
7 7 Tuesday’s Child 12.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Equalizer 20.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Magiadoro 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bustin Bay 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Into Happiness 3.50 1.9 3-1
6 6 Missy Greer 10.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Crypto Mama 15.00 3 6-1
4 4 Comparative 4.00 3 6-1
8 8 Toned Up 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Miss Bonnie T 30.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Amanda’s Folly 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Comely S.) – Comely S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Raging Sea 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Defining Purpose 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Ichiban 12.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Honor D Lady 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Just Katherine 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Julia Shining 4.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Warrior’s Ransom 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Corningstone 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Lady Banker 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Mo Damorninggrouch 6.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Chiara 3.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Sweet Liberty 4.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Follow the Fed 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Purest Performance 5.00 4 7-1
8 8 Bank Holiday 15.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Bella Isola 12.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Countess Constance 20.00 9.8 18-1
3 3 Darling Cat 30.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.