Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sand to Sea | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Not Kidding | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Satoshi | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Come Join the Band | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | In Her Pryme | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Plum Creek | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rhyme Or Reason | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Peaceful Waters | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | C Z Rocket | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arham | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kingdom Heart | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good With People | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Castleknock | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paulliac (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rahm | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eddie’s Last | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mars On Fire | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Habeas | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Noble Union | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Tok | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tahoe Secrets | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All the King’s Men | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take Charge Curly | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jimmy the Boot | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dual Threat | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Warren’s Paradice | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ashleys Sandcastle | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy On Top | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jessebear | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yvett’s Surprise | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Lake | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hey Demps | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jazzy Boo | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Music We Make | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Pond | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Signora Minister | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Satin Doll | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Power Surge | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kristi’s Tiger | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | R Swirvin Girvin | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Seabiscuit H.) – Seabiscuit H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hong Kong Harry (IRE) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Astronomer | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Balnikhov (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Easter (FR) | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sumter | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cabo Spirit | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yes This Time | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Front Run the Fed | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Mr. Leasure | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Urban Legend | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sand Bagger | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Schwarzmeier | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Aint No Joke | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | De’ Medici | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Moonlit Sonata | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cornell | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | All That Glory | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Joe’s Candy | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 98 | Honest Coop | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Annie’s Joy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Lizzy | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ruff Ride | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Una Palabra | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inner Beauty (IRE) | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vincero Grande | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | In Your Face | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Court Snort | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Built Different | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.