Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 25, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sand to Sea 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 She’s Not Kidding 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Satoshi 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Come Join the Band 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 In Her Pryme 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Plum Creek 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Rhyme Or Reason 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Peaceful Waters 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 C Z Rocket 2.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Arham 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Kingdom Heart 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Good With People 4.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Castleknock 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Paulliac (IRE) 2.50 1.3 3-1
4 4 Rahm 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Eddie’s Last 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Mars On Fire 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Habeas 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Noble Union 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Tiz Tok 3.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Tahoe Secrets 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 All the King’s Men 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Take Charge Curly 4.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Jimmy the Boot 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Dual Threat 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Warren’s Paradice 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ashleys Sandcastle 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Candy On Top 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Jessebear 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Yvett’s Surprise 15.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Summer Lake 2.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Hey Demps 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Jazzy Boo 12.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 The Music We Make 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Big Pond 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Signora Minister 2.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Satin Doll 5.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Power Surge 4.00 5 10-1
4 4 Kristi’s Tiger 5.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 R Swirvin Girvin 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Seabiscuit H.) – Seabiscuit H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hong Kong Harry (IRE) 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Astronomer 3.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Balnikhov (IRE) 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Easter (FR) 3.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Sumter 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Cabo Spirit 8.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Yes This Time 20.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Front Run the Fed 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Mr. Leasure 4.00 1 2-1
5 4 Urban Legend 2.50 1.4 3-1
7 6 Sand Bagger 20.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Schwarzmeier 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Aint No Joke 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 De’ Medici 12.00 4.5 8-1
9 8 Moonlit Sonata 8.00 7 13-1
10 9 Cornell 4.00 7 13-1
11 10 All That Glory 8.00 7.2 14-1
3 2 Joe’s Candy 12.00 8.3 16-1
2 98 Honest Coop 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Annie’s Joy 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Miss Lizzy 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Ruff Ride 5.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Una Palabra 30.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Inner Beauty (IRE) 3.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Vincero Grande 6.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 In Your Face 5.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Court Snort 15.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Built Different 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.