Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 25, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 True Red Slew 20.00 1 2-1
1 1 Scrapbook 3.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Midnight’s Girl 1.80 3 6-1
7 7 Soddy Daisy 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 She’smysmokeshow 5.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Wa Wa Wee Wa 6.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Cayman Queen 6.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Pippa’s Prospect 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Unlucky in Love 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Good by Faith 6.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Bikini Bottom 1.20 2.8 5-1
4 4 Floating Beauty 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Saint Isabel 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Stand by Time 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Baileys Bro 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Steauxlit 4.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Beaudean 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Iron N Steel 10.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Apriority Avenger 5.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 All Together 10.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Suit of Wands 15.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Catch Me T 6.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Dynamic Moon 8.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Poppa Magic 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bar Tap 20.00 1 2-1
4 4 Saenz 12.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Teasin’ Tesla 6.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 All Good Times 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 In the Red 5.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Sweet Laura 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Carpe Horseshoe 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 My Lil Dude 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Itellyouthefacts 5.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 It’s a Bird 6.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Play Master 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Pink Higgins 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Quarter Rat 8.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Mr Elvin 10.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Forged in Steel 20.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Nocomet 12.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Heather’s Request 20.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Sarah’s Vision 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Xanthus Wrath 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dr Stricklands Ace 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Cajun Catalina 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Fire Vision 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Tdz Corrienda Star 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Beulah K 6.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Dat Guitar 5.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Midnight Faith 8.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Afleet Charlene 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Blazing Charm 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Katie’s Karat 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Four Princesses 4.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Waters of Merom 2.50 5.3 10-1
2 2 Akasi 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Georgia Dawn 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Inawic 8.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Sophie’s Prayer 15.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Fasted 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 New Destiny 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Sheza Salty Gal 8.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Crystal d’Oro 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Flawless Takeover 6.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Megans Millions 10.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Molli Way 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Zeerock 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Queen of the Moon 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Bayou Beauty 12.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 The Calling Stone 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Arms Apriority 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Everlyn’s Angel 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Scrutinizer 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Wonder Run 6.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Diablo Cat 10.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Hail State 2.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 I’ll Raise You 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Grand Prado 4.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Slither 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Not Rocket Science 15.00 5 9-1
5 5 Half Ours N Stormy 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.