Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 25, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Steal It Back 0 0-1
1 1 And Fifty 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Imindycatbirdseat 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Northernreflection 4.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Meditate 3.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Steal It Back 5.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Senator Con 8.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Fort Bonz 5.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Freedomfi 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mary Jack 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Golden Sun Drops 4.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Princess Stella (IRE) 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Quinn Ella 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Taylor’s Secret 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Sweet Perfection 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Ain’t She a Pistol 15.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Joanie Gal 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Country Lady 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lake Marie 3.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Drop Dead Sexy 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Canada’s Customs 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Galaxy Thirtysix 4.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Sienna Breeze 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Miss Jana 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Lucky Romance 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Max Is G Money 15.00 1.3 3-1
7 7 St. Armands Key 5.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Interlude 8.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Mill Street 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Le Gris 10.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 High Enough 30.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Luke 12.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Empire’s Classic 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Zverev 4.00 6 11-1
13 13 El Alacran 12.00 6.3 12-1
14 14 Double Neat 10.00 9.4 18-1
16 16 Ocean Victory 8.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Sir Exton 20.00 9.9 19-1
15 15 British Sea 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Agapee Mou 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Madam Blue 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sweet Darlin 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Adiamondinthestorm 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Everylittlesingh 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Highlander’s Edge 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Custom Comedy 5.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Jus Press Star 4.50 7.3 14-1
7 7 Broadway Star 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Because the Night 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Dumbstruck 20.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Benvolio 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 Elevated Game 15.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Card Trick 8.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Masterofhiscraft 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Bourbon Life 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Neat 6.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Candy Corn 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mighty Kai 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Candy Lover 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Berlaine 4.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Brunch Punch 6.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Hub City 6.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 A Lil Psychotic 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Aztec Empress 10.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Flathead Finale 8.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Greyhound Station 8.00 9 17-1
8 8 Beelieve Her 10.00 9.2 17-1
10 10 Chica Arma 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Pan Zareta S.) – Pan Zareta S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Carimba 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Twice as Sweet 15.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Charlie T 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Medalla Match 6.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Granato 20.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Goin’ Good 4.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Kerry 15.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Redifined 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Still My Babe 20.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Kela’s Turn 50.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Train to Artemus 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sonofaship 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cat County 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Freddie by a Nose 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Temple of Peace 12.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Nopenottonight 8.00 2.8 5-1
11 11 Razor Crest 12.00 3 6-1
3 3 Bons Temps Roule 6.00 3 6-1
9 9 Coal Coal Beer 15.00 4 8-1
4 4 Skinny Bobby 10.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Take Charge J J 4.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Puppeteer 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.