Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shake It Baby | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Remember Me | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | True Sunshine | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fainor’s Filets | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Independent | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brown Suga Babe | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wait for Tomorrow | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bootsy’s Merlot | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Made Birdie | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Neolithica | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nottoway | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heads Or Tails | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Senate Chamber | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Free Square | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aristocratic | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Black Candy | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Holey Moley | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maryland Moon | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Big Mozz | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Money Room | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Longworth | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Corrected Pedigree | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Von Hoff | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Imstillhere | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paschal Moon | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Juke Joint | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Surya | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ruda | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charming Way | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She Is Wisky | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Can Run | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Champagne Toast | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Haint Blue | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fool Yourself | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Wind | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tweet Away Robin | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Lorraine | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ninja Abarrio | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Viking Queen | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Illusion of Hope | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chalk Hill | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thea’s Theme | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Redwhiteandtacos | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sneaky Cheeky | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (City Of Laurel S.) – City Of Laurel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Post Time | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Let It Ride | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ninetyprcentmaddie | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Byk | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Veeson | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Praetorian Guard | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Super Accelerate | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Coffeewithchris | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Giant Mischief | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Safely Kept S.) – Safely Kept S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Warrior’s Ransom | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Apple Picker | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unified Alliance | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Howl | 0.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dot Marie | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liquidator | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Worst Behaviour | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Richard W. Small S.) – Richard W. Small S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Market Maven | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Be Better | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Kumbalay | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ain’t Da Beer Cold | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Outlier | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Movisitor | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forewarned | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hay Chief | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | John Hall | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frog Town | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Landon Jack | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Island d’Lite | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Science (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Grand Escape | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Smoak | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dontinvademyspace | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rascally Rebel | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Disputed Notion | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.