Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 26, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Montauk Mystique 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Strange Fruit 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Practical Miss 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Debbie Darling 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Good Morning Kiss 3.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Lady Fortuna 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Low Society 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tavin 2.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Progeny 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Antenna 4.00 4 8-1
6 6 Lika Rolling Stone 4.50 5.7 11-1
1 1 Classic Diva 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lookin At Roses 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Sundaeswithsandy 2.50 1.3 3-1
5 5 Iron Works 8.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Higher Quality 10.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Portos 3.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Optic Way 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Heir Port 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Chuck Willis (IRE) 4.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Bourbon’s Hope 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Prince James 2.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Aequor 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Rally Squirrel 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Street Swagg 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Anthracite 4.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Fight Fiercely 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Winning Connection 3.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Strong Light 8.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Mighty Meister 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Counterfeitcurency 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 The Cobbler 30.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Big Bobby 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Virtual Reality 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Kitten’s Appeal 2.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Mongolian Panther 3.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Wicked Sight 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Desert Dalliance 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Caragate 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Awillaway 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 6 Shigeko 1.60 1 2-1
4 3 Anileate 10.00 1.1 2-1
7 8 Monroe 2.00 1.2 2-1
3 2 Dashing Della 6.00 2 4-1
2 1 Alterina 15.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Joey the Fish 20.00 5.6 11-1
8 9 Rocket Ruthie 6.00 SCRATCH
6 7 Karen’s Honor 12.00 SCRATCH
1 4 Two Redheads 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sheriff Bianco 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Swiftsure 1.60 1.3 2-1
5 5 Unbridled Bomber 3.50 5.8 11-1
4 4 Adero 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Divine Armor 12.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Daydreaming Boy 8.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Bold Endeavor 15.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Constitutionlawyer 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dame Cinco 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Coppa Girl 4.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Hazardous Humor 12.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Sweet Mystery 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Goddess of Fire 1.20 3.7 7-1
5 5 Ain’t Broke 6.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Implosion 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Vienna Code 30.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Cinderella’s Cause 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.