Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Discrepancy | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Tempest | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Criticism | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kopion | 1.20 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toulouse Detrac | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ultimate Authority | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Established | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lambeau | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Disko Tribute | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jamming Eddy | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Impossible Task | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Santos to Wilson | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She’s Resilient | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Phenom | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Angelcents | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Soul | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A New Peace | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | On Purpose | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quiet Secretary | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nu Pi Lambda | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | California Tiger | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Drinker | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carol’s Comic | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Rey Dorado | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | John Dunbar | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smiling Ruler | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sure Prospect | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | King Apollo | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sawasdee | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Iceman | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cane Creek Road | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Inch | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Lancelot (GB) | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Silardi | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vorpal | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pat’s Paddock Pick | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barsabas | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Devil Moon | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | K P Kwest | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buck Owens | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Play Chicken | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Top of My Game | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elevado | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tenth Street Don | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Tiergarten | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lakota Spirit | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Idessia | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ankyrah | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Monarch Bay | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kleen Karma | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Luminiferous | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bolt’s Broad | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Myfavoritedaughter | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Grace Period (FR) | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cast Member | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 98 | Jensco | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Native Diver S.) – Native Diver S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Newgrange | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arrowthegreat | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Skinner | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Visitant | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Fisk | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kiss Today Goodbye | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Celestial Moon | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Khantaro d’Oro | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ghost Coast | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Caribbean King | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Captain Choochies | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starforce | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One of These Days (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ashcroft | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sea of Cortez (IRE) | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Player B | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Surf Affair | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nation | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.