Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Where’s Samnbailey |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tachyon Speed |
2.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Another Pinky |
3.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Daddy’s Daisy |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wildfire |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Magic Modie |
6.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Speedy Rose |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Mr Narcissistic |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Heat Merchant |
10.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Musical Stride |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Venti |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Flowers ‘n Berries |
3.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
I’m a Bourbon Girl |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mr. Marshall |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Star Scholar |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Greystone |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Patrolman |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rock Bullet |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hygge |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
So Called Vacation |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Celentano |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Phantom Jewel |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Indiana Road |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Birthday Munnings |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Coherence |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cadfael |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sugartap |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Model S |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Happy Quad |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Daddy Send Money |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
War Empire |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Lakefield |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fifty B M G |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Forest Flash |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ry Pie |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Callyoubackinfive |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Frac Right |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Monday Morning |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Alpha Kadin |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Canadian Pharoah |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Be Like Clint |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cupid’s Claws |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Grand Journey |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sir Sahib |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spring Mountain |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sunrise Drive |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Embrace My Uncle |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Graceful Fighter |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
A Thread of Blue |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Silent Miracle |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Palace View (IRE) |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Causin’ Mayhem |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hungry Wolf |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Moon Landing |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Take Charge Sousi |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Uncaptured Moment |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Posturing |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Souped Up |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Reload’s Rascal |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Light the Lamp |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Four Aces High |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hallie’s Hero |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Maakwa |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Galvaston |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hai Bobbi |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Frank’s Art |
6.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Seventyseven Stone |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Handicap) – Starter Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Luz de La Luna |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Verdejo |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Taquanyah |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Sunny Valentine |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Devil’s Bit |
2.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hello Friends |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bizymaline |
20.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Frankie’s Girl |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Valyrian Sky |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Night Striker |
4.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Squeezethesharman |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ashuka |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Notachancebro |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Glorious Revenge |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Spirit of Seattle |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sugar It’s Eli |
2.50 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Qurbaan’s Kingdom |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Blondina’s Boy |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Wetiko |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Drillhall |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
13 |
13 |
Khopesh |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.