Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Speightster’s Gold | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Not a Trace | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | More Ransom | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just Stay Home | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kentucky Pride | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tonala | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beckon | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Living Water | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Center Mid Maddie | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Silent Cat | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pylon | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Power Agenda | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Touchdown Montage | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jw’s Third Mischie | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | We Ready | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sal N Louie | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fatih | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Long Legged Boy | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quickening | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Imagine This | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Omerta Code | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big John | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsy Is the Gal | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Fullmoonmagic | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diane’s Merlot | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neissa | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eloper | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shelby Shortstop | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Betsy Is the Gal | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mii Amo | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pontiffany | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gia’s Fuego | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Purrfect Mistress | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reiterate | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leviosa | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Jane | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anginetti | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Alex | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cup of Life | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fast Breakin Cash | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Under the Radar | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ron Don Scorese | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreaming of Gerry | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brilliant Chase | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tycoon | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speightster Red | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Carcharoth | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lonesome Boy | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maximus Meridius | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Party At Sam’s | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Biagio | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rossington | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bernie’s Mitts | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chochocho | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chachaching | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vilaluz | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Abidale | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ifihadachance | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Touring Maryanne | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scott Alaia | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unadulterated | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Connelmaura | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Salagadoola | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Izzybella | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lookinatlightening | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Simovitch | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Helium | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ten Gauge | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roadtriptonowhere | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rich’s Way | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jamie Dreams | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | O’Conner Sunset | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Roan Mountain | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noneedtoworry | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Indybound | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boys and Bullets | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bronx Tale | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cowboy Jim | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Union Reward | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Show Em the Lights | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chip’s Friend | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bluey | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sharp Sensation | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Connecting | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.