Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Arkansas Zong | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cool Spirit | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Admiral Risty | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yo Play | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Warrior | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Inglis | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toast to the Girls | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Chan | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quick Zong | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday Forever | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Running Late | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Palatial Times | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cousvinnysacanuck | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deep State | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Graves Mill Road | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Minnesota Miracle | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ocean of Storms | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Drewpower | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dial in for Lute | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Loudthundrhevyrain | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Joseph H | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Halo | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Theboyz Secret | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Matzoh Ball | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Road | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fran’s Star | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Patek | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hit the Bullseye | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | C F Henry | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Magnolia Speed | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tdzshininluckystar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gypsyroselee | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valtesse | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Two Jet | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Courtly Doc | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | K V Squared | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cherry Star | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | R T’s Gem | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tensas Bertie | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Addi Bug | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deal Me a Penny | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Luminous Flight | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stephen’s Answer | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pinch Assault | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Birthday Party | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Rojo | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smoky Topaz | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey’s Gone | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr B Quiet | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Taken Back | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Applewood | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fast Verdict | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Happy in Heels | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Finishwhatustarted | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Is Hot | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mardi Gras Alarm | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cheer Up | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Battle of Wits | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zero Point Zero | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chaos Magic | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Charlie | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Draft Choice | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sadie’s Light | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Tough Charlie | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lion Heart Legend | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Boyz Priority | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bankroll | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Total Surprise | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quiet as Midnight | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bayou Chrome | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Treasure Coast | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lost Gold | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Presumptive Closer | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ambassador House | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mosh Pit | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cottonclub Soldier | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shankinstine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.