Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, November 29, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Arkansas Zong 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Cool Spirit 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Admiral Risty 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Yo Play 10.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Classic Warrior 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Inglis 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Toast to the Girls 20.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Uncle Chan 10.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Quick Zong 20.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Holiday Forever 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Running Late 1.80 1 2-1
9 9 Palatial Times 15.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Cousvinnysacanuck 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Deep State 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Graves Mill Road 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Minnesota Miracle 15.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Ocean of Storms 20.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Drewpower 8.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Dial in for Lute 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Loudthundrhevyrain 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Joseph H 3.50 1.3 2-1
8 8 Midnight Halo 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Theboyz Secret 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Matzoh Ball 8.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Secret Road 10.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Fran’s Star 4.50 5.8 11-1
3 3 Patek 6.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Hit the Bullseye 20.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 C F Henry 15.00 9.1 17-1
11 11 Magnolia Speed 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Tdzshininluckystar 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gypsyroselee 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Valtesse 10.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Two Jet 3.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Courtly Doc 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 K V Squared 4.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Cherry Star 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 R T’s Gem 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Tensas Bertie 8.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Addi Bug 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Deal Me a Penny 4.50 7.1 13-1
11 11 Luminous Flight 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Stephen’s Answer 12.00 1 2-1
10 10 Pinch Assault 2.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Birthday Party 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Big Rojo 6.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Smoky Topaz 5.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Whiskey’s Gone 10.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Mr B Quiet 4.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Taken Back 15.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Applewood 6.00 9.7 18-1
9 9 Fast Verdict 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Happy in Heels 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Finishwhatustarted 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Summer Is Hot 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Mardi Gras Alarm 4.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Cheer Up 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Battle of Wits 10.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Zero Point Zero 15.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Chaos Magic 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sharp Charlie 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Draft Choice 2.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Sadie’s Light 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 One Tough Charlie 5.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Lion Heart Legend 12.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 The Boyz Priority 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Bankroll 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Total Surprise 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Quiet as Midnight 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Bayou Chrome 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Treasure Coast 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Lost Gold 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Presumptive Closer 20.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Ambassador House 20.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Mosh Pit 15.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Cottonclub Soldier 15.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Shankinstine 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.