Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 30, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bustin Hot 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Divine Cross 4.50 2 4-1
6 6 Dolce Sera 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Irish Jackson 3.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Proper Grammar 30.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Two Redheads 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Run Devil 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Sister Linda 2.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Suspended Campaign 2.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Mia Bea Star 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Distorted View 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Triple P 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bustin Shout 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tommy Gun 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Six Percent 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Quickflash 4.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Always Charming 3.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Unflappable Max 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Uncle Curly 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2B 4 Amundson 2.00 1 2-1
4 1 Life Changer 2.50 1.3 2-1
5 7 Jeff Fa Fa 6.00 1.3 3-1
2 3 Emerald Forest 2.00 2 4-1
3X 6 Seven Nation Army 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 5 Scilly Cay 3.00 3.6 7-1
1A 9 Clem Labine 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 8 Royal Tryst 15.00 6.8 13-1
1 2 Chewing Gum 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Vintage 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Accel Rose 2.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Just a Nyquist 3.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Embraceable Gal 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Luna Loca 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Alice Kramden 15.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Sweet as Sugar 20.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Synonymous 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Iridescent 0.80 1 2-1
3 3 Two’s a Crowd 4.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Taporical 20.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Running Lucky 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Awesome for Sure 20.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Guanare 3.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Badlands Ruler 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Malibu Springs 0 0-1
6 6 Brazillionaire 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Salto de Tigre 4.50 1.4 3-1
9 9 Big Engine 2.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Winning Drive 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Co Conspirator 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Klickitat 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Datesfreedom 20.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Pit Boss 5.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Trappe the Dream 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Leading Contender 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Olympic Dreams 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Mistical Curlin 6.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Suerte 5.00 4 7-1
2 2 Bold Victory 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Billieve in Josh 50.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Funkenstein 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Macallan 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Paddington 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Crown That Saint 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Shadow Man 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Solo in Paris 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Won Team 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Wild Jaime 3.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 My Man Woody 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Lanie’s First Dude 15.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Noble One 20.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Piccolo Diavolo 10.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.