Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Calabrian Queen | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hidden Love | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Janis | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet N Salty | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flying I | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dreamed I Am Fast | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Time to Close | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tensas Clear | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moro Drama Queen | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cupie Cutie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Talkabout | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Vincent’s Gem | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dance Lady | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simple Pleasure | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catcake | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cyber Sneaker | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | American Reality | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harlans Warrior | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cold as You | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pelletier | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Blessed Anna | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Billie K | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Custom Sunshine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jet Rocket | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ido Solemnly Swear | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | F J’s Chaos | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pip Squeek | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mighty Flynn | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ruled by Spirit | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Guitar Solo | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Back Street Baby | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moni Design | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Midnight Cigarette | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | His Giant | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gerard | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fire Sword | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Palace | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Man Louie | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Double Barrel Man | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mister K | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ez Guess | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In the Arch | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Full Impact | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mongolian Bee | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Charlie Gras | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | D’wild Muffin | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Be a Bandit | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hey Madalyn Claire | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seriously Sam | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Angela’s Celerity | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mila’s Kat | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | New Year’s Party | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Point of Victory | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Storm Breach | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bettabe Bourbon | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Copter | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cpriority | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Credo | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gotmy Mo Jo Workin | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Real Action | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goldenlute | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gildersleeve | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Debbies Passage | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Valentine | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Commercial Flash | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Xtrafrieswithat | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Madison’s Screen | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Suzy Doll’s Ready | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Everlyn’s Angel | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bridled Up | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | South Coast Route | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Party Gras | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Doce de la Noche | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Windtapper Win | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rocky Boy | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winning Dance | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey Red | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just Because | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red October | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.