Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 30, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Calabrian Queen 2.00 1 2-1
10 10 Hidden Love 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Janis 3.50 3.1 6-1
9 9 Sweet N Salty 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Flying I 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Dreamed I Am Fast 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Time to Close 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Tensas Clear 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Moro Drama Queen 20.00 9.3 18-1
12 12 Cupie Cutie 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Talkabout 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Vincent’s Gem 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dance Lady 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Simple Pleasure 3.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Catcake 5.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Cyber Sneaker 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 American Reality 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Harlans Warrior 15.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Cold as You 10.00 5 10-1
7 7 Pelletier 8.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Blessed Anna 4.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Miss Billie K 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Custom Sunshine 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Jet Rocket 3.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Ido Solemnly Swear 20.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 F J’s Chaos 20.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Pip Squeek 5.00 5 9-1
9 9 Mighty Flynn 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Ruled by Spirit 10.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Guitar Solo 5.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Back Street Baby 15.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Moni Design 12.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Midnight Cigarette 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 His Giant 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Gerard 10.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 Fire Sword 3.50 1.3 3-1
3 3 Golden Palace 4.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 My Man Louie 20.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Double Barrel Man 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Mister K 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Ez Guess 20.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 In the Arch 2.50 6 11-1
2 2 Full Impact 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mongolian Bee 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miss Charlie Gras 12.00 1 2-1
3 3 D’wild Muffin 5.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Be a Bandit 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Hey Madalyn Claire 20.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Seriously Sam 6.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Angela’s Celerity 3.50 5.5 10-1
7 7 Mila’s Kat 10.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 New Year’s Party 2.50 7.1 13-1
5 5 Point of Victory 15.00 9.9 19-1
4 4 Storm Breach 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bettabe Bourbon 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Copter 4.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Cpriority 12.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Mo Credo 3.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Gotmy Mo Jo Workin 6.00 5 10-1
7 7 Real Action 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Goldenlute 8.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Gildersleeve 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Debbies Passage 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Stormy Valentine 12.00 2 4-1
8 8 Commercial Flash 2.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Xtrafrieswithat 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Madison’s Screen 5.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Suzy Doll’s Ready 5.00 3 6-1
5 5 Everlyn’s Angel 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Bridled Up 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 South Coast Route 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 Party Gras 6.00 5 10-1
5 5 Doce de la Noche 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Windtapper Win 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Rocky Boy 5.00 6 11-1
1 1 Winning Dance 8.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Whiskey Red 10.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Just Because 4.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Red October 15.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.