Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 30, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Country Guy 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Mo’z Star Cross 12.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Red Rock Solution 12.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Jack the Whistle 6.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Yockey Doodledandy 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Quail 4.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Native Requite 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Canal St. Cupid 20.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Bet On Bobby 10.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Bolie 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gold Plus 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mrs. Speaker 3.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Storm Haven 4.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Bold Exaggeration 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Freeform 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Gray Pearl 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Midnight Waltz 8.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Ize Smiling 4.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Harold’s Cloud 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Action Seeker 5.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Absolute Courage 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Izeondec 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Path to Success 4.50 5.5 10-1
4 4 Humor Me Please 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Taraashoq 4.50 7.7 15-1
8 8 Define 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Starcry 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Isobela 15.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Scoop 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Sweet Marin 20.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Dooblay 5.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Love Light 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Clearly Copper 2.50 5 9-1
6 6 Dylan’s Dream 15.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Jocelyn 15.00 9.9 19-1
1 1 Saucy Six 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 F T W Slam 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Chad’s Flash 8.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Infinitesimal 3.50 2.2 4-1
10 10 Brook Is Golden 12.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Reverent 4.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Peanut N Ike 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Perfect Strike 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Patio’s Porch 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Problem Child 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Meckes Priority 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dustin the Diamond 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Bradfield Baby 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Alvin 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Very Satisfactory 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Thezelenskyyfactor 6.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Lou the Body 8.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 This Time Blue 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Performance Plus 15.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 English Bobby 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Saturday Starter 12.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Yo Daddy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Not On Herb 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Two B 8.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Hard Four 4.50 2.9 6-1
8 8 Drewmazing 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Bates Court 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Sono 5.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Risky Priority 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 Pinch Me a Penny 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Hoosier 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Beatbox 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Alex Joon 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Whisper Not (GB) 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Kentucky Ghost 3.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 Rising Empire 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Britain’s Kitten 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Unanimous Consent (GB) 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Jose Patio 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Moreau 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Banishing 1.80 1.2 2-1
8 8 Quaternion 4.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Kahala 12.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Up N Gone 8.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Master Game 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Ricky Bobby 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Runninginthemoney 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Bubba Can Dance 15.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Maasai Warrior 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Our Freddie Mac 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 Bibleman 12.00 2.3 4-1
12 12 Stealing Apriority 3.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 J B Gray 30.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Adieu Le Chat 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Zong Tough 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Crusader Express 30.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Carlos Punch 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 Gallant Star 12.00 7 13-1
5 5 Sir Overanalyze 12.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Caeus in Pasadena 50.00 10.7 20-1
2 2 Letstakeitoutside 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.